Colby Covington - UFC 272
Colby Covington before fighting Kamaru Usman in a welterweight mixed martial arts championship bout at UFC 268, Sunday, Nov. 7, 2021, in New York. (AP Photo/Corey Sipkin)


Patrick Werkmeister

From the T-Mobile Arena in fabulous Las Vegas, 13 action-packed fights will take place as the UFC hosts it’s 272nd event. This card is loaded with thrilling action featuring a riveting welterweight bout in the middleweight division. While the main event will be electrifying, this entire card should have exciting MMA bouts. It will once again be another volatile night in the UFC for this slate, and here’s what I like.

Sergey Spivak by Submission (+380)
The opening odds for this heavyweight match favored Sergey Spivak at -185 and that is where the line currently sits. In this one, he will be going up against former NFL All-Pro Greg Hardy. Last time out, Hardy suffered a knockout defeat vs contender Tai Tuivasa and Spivak was also defeated by TKO in two rounds. Sergey’s expert grappling and submission work will be a problem for Hardy, who is not known for his takedown defense. Contrarily, the 33 year old Hardy has been in a rough patch over the last few fights where he’s lost twice in a row and has a record of 7-4. He has been sketchy in his last two fights where he was knocked out in both losses. In his 13-3 record, six of Spivak’s wins have ended via submission, which is attributed to his dominant submission game that most fighters can’t control. Against a guy who has been beaten down in his last few outings and has visibly lost steam, Spivak has a real shot at making quick work of his opponent. Take him to get it done by submission in this bout.   

Kevin Holland by KO/TKO (+140)
In this exciting welterweight division matchup, Kevin Holland looks to bounce back against Alex Oliveira. Holland opened up as a -200 ML favorite but is currently favored at odds of -390. Last time these two fought, Holland battled Kyle Daukaus where the fight ended in a no contest, whereas Oliveira was defeated by Niko Price by unanimous decision. Holland comes into this one with 21 victories, 12 of which came by knockout, so this line carries some juicy value. The California native comes into this one at the fresh age of 28, whereas Oliveira is 34 and on the doorstep of his final fight. He comes into this one with a 22-11 record and quite possibly his most difficult opponent in a while. At +140, these odds have exceptional value given Holland’s thunderous knockout power. With Oliveira not having much left in the gas tank, if Holland can shut down his ground game then there’s little doubt he will walk away with the victory. Holland is the more well-rounded fighter and should show major adjustments from the last fight now that he’s had a full camp. Take him to bounce back with a knockout victory.

Colby Covington by KO/TKO (+310)
For the main event of the evening, Colby “Chaos” Covington looks to keep his title hopes alive against rival Jorge Masvidal. Covington opened up as a -350 ML favorite and is currently favored at whopping odds of -330. Last time out Covington was narrowly defeated by the welterweight champion, Kamaru Usman, by a unanimous decision. Similarly, Masvidal is coming off his own defeat to Kamaru Usman from UFC 261 where he was viciously knocked out by the champion. Covington is a relentless fighter who has an endless supply of gas in the tank, whereas Masvidal is at the heightened age of 38 who has already fought in 50 fights. At +310, these odds have exceptional value given the advantage Covington has over Masvidal in stamina. However, if Masvidal comes out swinging and knows the blueprint to defeat Covington then he could be a live dog. Still, Covington is the more imposing and well-rounded fighter and should have a field day and pepper Masvidal. Take him to win by knockout in stylistic fashion since he has been pumping on all cylinders.

Latest Team / Player News