Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Tyreek Hill
Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Tyreek Hill (10) reaches out for the ball against Los Angeles Chargers defensive back Tevaughn Campbell (20) on the final play during an NFL football game Sunday, Sept. 26, 2021, in Kansas City, Mo. (AP Photo/Peter Aiken)


Patrick Werkmeister

After an undefeated 2-0-1 performance (A push due to Tyler Higbee placed on COVID-19 list) for Monday Night Football’s edition of best bets, this Thursday special is a great opportunity to stay hot. For this AFC West showdown, Pat Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs travel to Hollywood where they face off against Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers. Last week, the Chiefs thumped the Raiders by a score of 48-9 and the Chargers comfortably defeated the New York Giants, 37-21. With LA just one game behind Kansas City in the division race, one of these teams has the chance to be in full control of the AFC West. With this in mind, here is what I love for this Thursday night action.

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Chiefs (-3)
The Chiefs opened this game as three-point road favorites and that is where this line currently stands. Although the Chiefs lost the first matchup with LA 30-24, Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in their previous eight games at Los Angeles. Additionally, the Chiefs are an efficient 4-1 ATS in their last five matches. Although the Chiefs have proven they are a lock for the postseason, they still must overcome their fierce division rival the LA Chargers. However, there are plenty of flaws with coach Brandon Staley and his team. In Week 3 when these two first met, LA was the benefactor of forced turnovers and time of possession, which ended up being the biggest factor of the game. If KC can mitigate turnovers by taking care of the ball they should easily beat their rivals. Although this Chargers defensive unit has been a serviceable bunch this season, they have had some inconsistencies where they have been scorched on that side of the ball. With a record of 9-4, I believe Kansas City’s record to be an inaccurate reflection of how good they really are. Take the Chiefs minus the points, where they look to get revenge against this Chargers squad.

Travis Kelce Over 65.5 Receiving Yards
Following subpar outings in his last two performances, All-Pro tight end Travis Kelce should be very productive in this week’s passing attack. He has only totaled 54 yards receiving on six total catches in the past two weeks. However, he does have nearly 90 targets and 80 catches already on the year, so he has been a big part of their offense. Kelce is a premium tight end in the NFL and with his receiving total this low, it must be taken advantage of. With Chiefs track star receiver Tyreek Hill causing enough chaos, all focus will be on him, leaving Kelce wide open. The Bolts rank in the bottom five of overall pass defense, and with Pat Mahomes throwing for nearly 300 yards in game one, expect them to have major success through the air. Travis has had some monstrous outings this year where he has three 100-yard outings and is ahead of the pace to have his 6th straight season with 1,000 yards receiving. With how big of a threat he is on the line and in the slot, he’ll make teams pay that give him any space at all. Expect Travis to bounce back and have an overall big night and take him to get it done on the receiving end. 

Mike Williams Anytime TD (+145)
Following a productive outing in his last performance, Chargers wide out Mike Williams should be a big part of the passing attack following injuries to their offense. With running back/receiver Austin Ekeler limited with an injury for this one, Williams will see an even bigger role to help pick up the slack. So far, he has caught 61 balls for a colossal 915 yards on seven touchdown receptions. He has been a big part of their offense even when they’re fully healthy, so expect to see him possibly have one of his big outings. Williams is a perfect red zone threat standing at nearly 6’5” and with his touchdown prop looking this juicy, it must be taken advantage of. With so many weapons on LA, all focus will be on players like Keenan Allen or Austin Ekeler, leaving Williams as a trusty end zone option. Although the Chiefs boast as one of the best defenses in the NFL in the last few weeks, LA has shown it’s difficult for any team to hold them back for putting up decent numbers. He has had some monstrous outings this year where he has three 100-yard performances and a high of 16 targets in one game this year. With how sure handed he is, he’ll make teams pay that give him any space at all. Expect Mike Williams to have an overall good night and take him to score one for LA. 

Same Game Parlay
Mike Williams Anytime TD Scorer, Travis Kelce Anytime First Half TD Scorer, Patrick Mahomes Over 280.5 Pass Yds, Justin Herbert Over 16.5 Rush Yds, Keenan Allen Over 75.5 Rec Yds, Mike Williams Over 54.5 Rec Yds, Travis Kelce Over 66.5 Rec Yds, Darrel Williams Over 16.5 Rec Yds and Chiefs to win by 1-13 Pts.

SGP Odds +32526

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