SPURS VS MAGIC, NOV. 5
We move on from a Heat team that flat out didn’t show up. A lot has been said recently about how players do not like the new balls the NBA has switched to and that is why we are seeing a lot less scoring across the entire league. While looking at scoring totals across the league these claims seem to have some validity to them so we’re going to put them to the test in today’s play.
So with teams having a harder time shooting the new ball, the theory here is find out which team gets the most points without theoretically shooting the most jumpers. Look no further than the Spurs, leading the league with 56 points per game from the paint. Cutting down the length of the shot should lead to more points which will have a large impact on our play. The Spurs have even outperformed their average as of late scoring an average of 59 points from the paint over their last three games combined. Orlando does have one of the better statistical paint defenses in the league, but they also have one of the worst three point defenses in the league so one definitely plays into the other and we have something to fall back on if the paint is not working for San Antonio.
The Magic will come into this game on the heels of an embarrassing loss to the now defensive powerhouse Celtics. Orlando continues to be a back-and-forth team mainly hanging below the middle of the pack in each category. Orlando fits this trend perfectly due to their poor defense. The Magic rank 18th in opponents shooting percentage and they rank 19th in opponents EFG percentage. The Spurs have dominated inside the paint which they will continue to do in this game and if the Magic decide to pack the paint, it will lead to open threes for the Spurs.
Magic vs Spurs the Pick: Spurs Team Total Over 107
As we highlighted, this Spurs team is by far the best in the paint this season. Cutting down on the new ball issues, securing easy buckets and creating more contested shots are leading to more trips to the line. Remember, the Spurs opened the season against the Magic, and it was their highest scoring game of the season still to date. San Antonio has gone over this posted total in five of their 8 games so far this season and the Magic are allowing opponents an average of 110 points per game. Take the Spurs to go over 107 Points.
Same Game Parlay
Spurs Over 107.5 Points, Dejounte Murray Over 17.5 Points, Dejounte Murray to score 25+ Points and San Antonio to win by 1-10 Points.