SNEAKY NBA DFS PICKS FOR MARCH 6
Not going to lie – it’s not been the best week of my personal DFS history, with a couple of nights I’d rather forget about. Today’s schedule is a tricky one to make a comeback with, too – as a few early games will remove some options and leave us with only a five-game evening slate to choose from. Rather than retreat into a hole after a couple of rough outings, we’re jumping right back into the fray. Shooters shoot, right?
ISAIAH ROBY, C/PF, Oklahoma City ($5,400 on DraftKings, $6,500 on FanDuel)
He only has the dual position availability on FanDuel, so you’ll have to pay the price for the extra flexibility tonight, but unfortunately, it’s on DraftKings where he’s an especially strong value. With the Thunder nursing several key injuries again for this evening’s game vs. Utah (Josh Giddey, Luguentz Dort and Kenrich Williams are all out again), Roby has been shouldering more of the load in OKC recently and he’s been a bit of a revelation. He’s averaged over 35 minutes and over 45 DFS points in his last two games. It’s always a bit of a guess what will happen with the rotations in Oklahoma City and Roby will face a particular challenge tonight in Jazz center Rudy Gobert, but you have to assume he’ll see plenty of volume again tonight and for his cheap DK price, you’d be smart to invest here.
PRECIOUS ACHIUWA, C/PF, Toronto ($4,300 on DraftKings, $5,300 on FanDuel)
Exactly the same situation with positional flexibility and affordability as Roby – he’s cheaper on DK but can only be a center there. The reality is that he is so inexpensive on DK that he’s pretty close to a must-roster. Toronto is struggling to find healthy rotational players with Fred VanVleet and OG Anunoby each missing several games in a row and likely out again tonight in Cleveland. Achiuwa has stepped in nicely in their absence, averaging over 24 minutes per game in his last 6 games and getting around 1.1 points per minute during that time, despite not being a guy who contributes much in the defensive categories. With a relatively small group of options tonight, his value on DraftKings is hard to miss and you could probably do worse even for a thousand dollars more on FD, too.
CEDI OSMAN, SF/SG, Cleveland ($4,200 on DraftKings, $4,600 on FanDuel)
In the wake of both Caris Levert and Rajon Rondo missing games with foot and toe injuries respectively, the Cavaliers player whose playing time has increased most has not been backup point guard Brandon Goodwin, but Osman. The Macedonian Jedi saw 32 minutes of playing time during a tough loss to the 76ers on Friday, scoring 20 points to go along with a steal and an assist. Both Levert and Rondo will probably not play against Toronto tonight and the Raps, who have struggled to defend wing players this season already, will be missing their best perimeter defender in OG Anunoby. Osman is not the most electrifying player on the court and you’re never doing premature victory dances if you’re getting to him in a lot of DFS tournaments, but there is value here on both formats which might allow you to roster players that will make you, y’know… feel something.
NIKOLA JOKIC, C, Denver ($10,900 on FanDuel, $12,600 on DraftKings)
Seems like FanDuel is running a discount Sunday promotion on centers today, doesn’t it? In this case, FD also appears to be offering a very fair price for the center in DFS. After missing the Nuggets’ last game with a non-Covid related illness, the Joker looks ready to return to the lineup tonight at home vs. New Orleans, who have played better lately but remain among the bottom third in the NBA in defending opposing centers. He is projected for over 55 points tonight on FanDuel for a very reasonable price. He’s more of a question mark on DraftKings, obviously – and you wouldn’t be able to use cheap DK players like Achiuwa or Roby as your power forward there, so the decisions are a bit tougher there. On FD pairing him with one of those dudes as a cheaper PF seems like a manageable balancing act tonight, though.
REGGIE JACKSON, PG, LA Clippers ($7,000 on FanDuel, $8,700 on DraftKings)
Well, apparently the discounts on Sundays at FanDuel don’t only apply just to centers after all – the little guys are going cheaper, too. Look at the disparity of salaries between the two formats (it’s tough to miss). DK seems to be taking Jackson’s last game (36 points, 8 rebounds, 9 assists and 2 steals vs. the Lakers on Thursday) into account when setting his salary, whereas FD doesn’t seem to have seen the highlights. There certainly isn’t much chance of Jackson repeating that performance level tonight vs. the Knicks (they’re better defensively than the Lakers without Anthony Davis), but with Paul George, Kawhi Leonard and Norman Powell all out again, he’ll remain a high-volume guy for the Clippers almost out of necessity. For little more than average salary on FD, he’s a smart play even if he isn’t motivated by facing off against his personal archenemy Russell Westbrook again tonight.