Oklahoma City Thunder forward Lindy Waters
Oklahoma City Thunder forward Lindy Waters III in the first half of an NBA basketball game against the Boston Celtics, Monday, March 21, 2022, in Oklahoma City. (AP Photo/Kyle Phillips)

SNEAKY NBA DFS PICKS FOR MARCH 30

Mike Shara

With 11 games on the slate tonight, there are a lot of options available. Sometimes too much choice can be a negative thing and there are several games I’m not going anywhere near tonight and a few that I’m going to absolutely zero in on. Let’s dig in here and I’ll see if I can explain why I’m headed where I am enough to convince you to join me there…

DE’ANTHONY MELTON, PG/SG, Memphis ($5,800 on FanDuel, $5,400 on DraftKings)
Everyone on Memphis’ roster is several thousand dollars cheaper than Ja Morant on both platforms for tonight’s game at San Antonio. The curious thing about that is that Morant is…y’know…injured and probably not going to play at all for a few weeks with a bum knee. Sort of like going to a car lot and buying a Porsche even though it is missing one of its wheels while a perfectly good Subaru is sitting right there waiting for you. Melton (the Subaru in my bush league analogy) seems especially underpriced, given what he’s been up to lately: averaging over 1.4 DFS points per game over his last five despite playing just 22 minutes per game. Tonight, he’s matched up against a Spurs team that struggles to defend opposing guards and you’d have to think that at some point Memphis Head Coach Taylor Jenkins would begin to notice how productive Melton has been lately and maybe bump his minutes up a bit. For that low price and the ceiling, he’s got above him, he’s worthy of the minimal investment.

LINDY WATERS, SF/SG, Oklahoma City ($4,100 on FanDuel and DraftKings)
I’ll confess this right away…I wouldn’t be able to recognize Lindy Waters if he were standing right beside me in line at Arby’s. I honestly don’t think I’ve watched more than one quarter of a game involving his Oklahoma City Team this year and he’s only been part of their rotation since February, anyway. He has averaged 25 minutes (an uptick) and played at a point-per-game pace over his last two, so he’s not been an unproductive player and tonight he’ll be facing the Hawks, who don’t defend anyone particularly well and probably won’t be strategizing pregame on how to contain Lindy Waters III. The Oklahoma native, an undrafted rookie and OSU alum, may get a little bit more of an opportunity due to the Thunder’s injury woes, and for that price it’s worth taking a chance, especially with that dual position eligibility he has going for him.

BOGDAN BOGDANOVIC, SF/SG, Atlanta ($6,100 on FanDuel, $6,600 on DraftKings)
The thing about undrafted rookie Lindy Waters III getting extra playing time due to injuries on the Thunder is that it also means that the team facing OKC tonight will also be getting plenty of minutes playing against undrafted rookie Lindy Waters III. Given that duality, Bogdanovic is extremely reasonably priced tonight, especially when you consider he was already facing off against the worst defensive team in the NBA vs. 2’s and 3’s who are also missing Luguentz Dort, Josh Giddey, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Darius Bazley, Kenrich Williams and possibly a few others. Oklahoma City is fielding a second division G-League level team for tonight and the Hawks are still in the fight, so I’d expect them to come out blazing and Bogdan looks to be one of the players in line to have a nice night. His price on both formats merits serious consideration.

TRAE YOUNG, PG, Atlanta ($11,000 on DraftKings, $10,000 on FanDuel)
Have you heard about Oklahoma City’s bad lineup for tonight yet? I’m not sure if anyone has mentioned it, but the word on the street is that they are likely to be really shorthanded tonight for their home game against Atlanta. Do you know of any good (actually, great) players who play for the Hawks, because they could really benefit from this kind of mismatch. Young had over 47 DFS points on DK two nights ago despite shooting just 4-for-13 from the field. His salary tonight’s up a little bit, but it should be. You have to figure he’s going to shoot the ball better tonight. You’ve been financially prudent with our other picks on this list – let’s enjoy the benefits of that fiscal responsibility and enjoy watching Trae have a big night, especially on FD, where his salary is oddly low. Of course, Nikola Jokic looks like a great Star Player choice tonight, too – but I expect his ownership rates to be huge, especially after the performance he just had vs. Charlotte. I think Young could be a relatively undiscovered gem tonight.

TYRESE HALIBURTON, PG/SG, Indiana ($7,600 on FanDuel, $9,700 on DraftKings)
This is an FD recommendation only, especially where you will need four guards in your lineup anyway. The discrepancy between the two sites (over two thousand dollars) is about as big as you’re likely to see, especially at this point in the season. DraftKings seems to have smelled out the Pacers’ tanking situation and, as a result, their active players’ prices have come up in the last little while. FanDuel seems a little slower to catch on to where Indiana is headed right now and as a result, I think Haliburton is wildly undervalued there. Haliburton is a terrific player anyway and the Pacers will be without guards Chris Duarte and Malcolm Brogdon tonight against Denver, meaning even more volume will head his way, and the Nuggets have really struggled against good opposing point guards. I’m going to get to him a lot today on FanDuel, but probably not much at all on DraftKings. Weird, but true.

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