SNEAKY NBA DFS PICKS FOR FEBRUARY 16
The NBA knows that after tomorrow, we DFS folks will have to take a bit of a break, relying on only All-Star Game weekend prop bets for a few days as the rest of the league’s players take a well-deserved break. They’ve slotted in a gargantuan schedule of 11 games tonight to make sure we have plenty of opportunity for getting some betting satisfaction before we have to sit out a few days and watch hockey or a bit of college b-ball. Let’s make sure we take advantage while we have a chance, shall we? Let’s have a peak at today’s matchups and see who looks like they might bring us a return on our investments…
SETH CURRY, SG/SF, Brooklyn ($5,700 on DraftKings)
In his first game since being acquired by Brooklyn as a smaller (but important) part of the earth-shaking James Harden/Ben Simmons trade, Curry had a pretty great night – 23 points, 7 rebounds, 5 assists in 32 minutes. A lot of the Nets offense ran through him, almost by necessity – Kyrie, Simmons and Harden all didn’t play Monday night against Sacramento and his team still won their first game in three weeks. Tonight is another home game (so, no Kyrie), Simmons is still not ready to play and KD is still on the injured list. That means a similarly ideal set of circumstances for Seth to play in. Brooklyn is facing a Knicks team that is better defensively than the Kings, but at his below-median salary, you have to think Curry will deliver good value again tonight.
JAYLEN BROWN, SG/SF, ($7,800 on FanDuel, $8,800 on DraftKings)
So Brown and his Celtics absolutely dominated the 76ers last night with 29 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists in just 29 minutes (that’s a key for tonight’s matchup) and his price on FanDuel actually drops by $1,000 from what it was a few days earlier? That alone would be worthy of a big buy-in. Adding appeal to the strange fall in price, Brown is facing an almost ideal opponent tonight in the Detroit Pistons, who rank near the bottom in nearly every defensive category and are constantly tinkering with lineups lately due to injury and trades. He’s probably still worth a look at his DK price, but on FD he’s a must-roster tonight.
TYUS JONES, PG, Memphis ($3,100 on DraftKings)
The unstoppable hurricane that is Ja Morant was (temporarily) slowed last night by an ankle injury which thrust Jones into the Grizzlies’ starting lineup, where he was able to accumulate 32 minutes and record 27 points, 9 assists, a rebound and a steal. You saw the price I just listed there, right? If there is any talk whatsoever of Morant missing the game again tonight, Jones’ ownership numbers will be through the roof, but he will still be worth it. The Trail Blazers are in Memphis for tonight’s game and they’re a nice defensive team to matchup against on the back end of a back-to-back. Even if he doesn’t start, Jones is still a consistent point-per-minute player, so he’s not completely dependent on Ja’s status if you need to fill a spot cheaply.
JALEN SMITH, PF, Indiana ($3,900 on DraftKings)
Recently acquired from Phoenix in a trade the Suns may regret a few years from now, Smith was the 10th overall pick in 2020 but struggled to find a consistent role on a veteran team looking to win a championship. Now in Indiana, he’ll be given every chance to prove that he can be a part of their (extensive) forthcoming rebuild. He started the game for the Pacers last night against Milwaukee and though he only played 17 minutes because of foul trouble, he still had 11 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists. The game before he had 17 and 12 in just 23 minutes coming off the bench. Now that he is all but assured of solid playing time and opportunity, he is a must-play at his current salary level. He will be facing a much less daunting task tonight against the Wizards but his salary remains the same as it was yesterday. I’m looking to own him in a lot of tournaments tonight, even if a lot of other folks probably are, too.
COBY WHITE, PG/SG, Chicago ($6,400 on DraftKings)
White has been – and remains – a popular pick of mine for the last week or so because he keeps returning good value at a low price. Tonight his salary is as expensive as it’s been in a few weeks, but it is still hovering just around league average and his returns continue to be above average, so I’m sticking with him tonight at home against a soft Sacramento defense. Lonzo Ball, Zach Lavine and Alex Caruso all remain out tonight, which means heavy minutes for White and rookie guard Ayo Dosunmu (also a good play tonight at $6K on DraftKings). White has scored over 36 DFS points in each of his last three games and has been shooting the ball better each time out. Nothing about the Kings’ defense makes me think a slowdown seems likely. As his salary grows, some folks might be hesitant to ride him again tonight. Don’t overthink it. Ride the wave.