Pistons Timberwolves Basketball
Minnesota Timberwolves forward Taurean Prince (12) drives to the basket against Detroit Pistons forward Kelly Olynyk (13) in the first quarter of an NBA basketball game, Sunday, Feb. 6, 2022, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Bruce Kluckhohn)

SNEAKY NBA DFS PICKS FOR FEBRUARY 10

Mike Shara

Just as I always talk about the importance of having a short memory when you’ve had a bad night playing your preferred DFS picks, I advise the same thing after you’ve had a good night, too. Last night a lot of my picks clicked and I came out ahead – but rather than get cocky about it, I’m moving on. I’m not the showboat wide receiver who has a choreographed dance sequence ready when he finally scores a TD. I’m from the Larry Fitzgerald school : hand the ball to the ref and act like you’ve been there before. Nothing ruins a hot streak like talking about a hot streak. Let’s just get back to work.

MGM NBA Offer

CAMERON THOMAS, PG, Brooklyn ($5,000 on DraftKings, $6,000 on FanDuel) His last three games he has averaged over 35 DFS points per game while playing about 30 minutes per game. A late first-round pick of the Nets earlier this year, Thomas has only just started his first NBA game and acquitted himself pretty well. Brooklyn’s roster is a bit of shambles right now and there looms a rather large potential trade situation that could come down today as their grand experiment of Harden, Durant and Irving appears to have imploded. Head Coach Steve Nash needs players he can rely on and sadly a rookie may be one of the few. Brooklyn will have to play tonight and with KD, Harden, Lamarcus Aldridge out and Nic Claxton’s status up in the air, so there’s a strong chance Thomas’ uptick in minutes continues. He’s one of the few Nets reserves with the ability to score regularly and the Wizards can’t stop anybody, so he should be productive when he’s out there, too. He might be a little too pricey on FanDuel, though.

KELLY OLYNYK, PF/C, Detroit ($3,700 on DraftKings)
This sneaky pick is contingent on a potential trade scenario. The Pistons are currently determining whether or not they wish to trade power forward Jerami Grant to a contender before today’s trading deadline arrives. If you see that Grant gets traded before tonight’s game, Olynyk becomes a strong play immediately. He has been coming off the bench since his return from injury and his results have been pretty blah (hence his low salary). However, if the trade happens and he suddenly becomes Detroit’s starting power forward playing 30-33 minutes per game, he’s a huge upside play as he gets back into a rhythm. He’s a steady, unspectacular play today if the trade happens. 

KYLE LOWRY, PG, Miami ($5,200 on FanDuel, $6,700 on DraftKings)
He’s going to be owned by a pretty high percentage on FD today because his price is so ridiculously low, so some of his value is squashed by volume in tournament play. For what feels like the first time all year, he Heat will have pretty much their entire lineup going tonight (except Markieff Morris and Victor Olidipo, who they’ve been without most of the season), meaning Lowry will have all of his weapons available to him for distribution opportunities – precisely the kind of scenario he should thrive in. The Pelicans provide below average defensive matchups vs. point guards this year and will be integrating two new players into their lineup tonight. He is even significantly cheaper than Cam Thomas on FD, which seems like an error they might regret.

KYRIE IRVING, PG/SG, Brooklyn ($9,400 on FanDuel, $10,400 on DraftKings)
He will probably have an ownership over 25% on FanDuel today but I’m still recommending him there, and even at a grand higher he’s a decent play on DK too. As noted earlier, the Nets’ roster is in tatters and they are getting whooped every game, but Irving will have had three full days of rest and with all the player absenteeism – look for a Paul Millsap buyout to happen today as well – he will see a huge volume of the offense move through him, almost by necessity. He had 27 points, 11 assists, 5 rebounds, 3 blocks(!) and a steal in his last game at Denver. There’s zero reason to suspect he won’t have at least similar numbers against Washington tonight.

SPENCER DINWIDDIE, PG, Washington ($5,700 on FanDuel, $6,000 on DraftKings)
Washington’s All-Star level shooting guard Bradley Beal is now officially out for the season with a wrist injury, meaning more minutes for Dinwiddie. His matchup tonight is a favorable one – the Wiz are actually favored tonight, FFS. His production this season has varied nightly, but in the 13 games Dinwiddie has played without Beal in the lineup, he has absolutely gone off, averaging just under 1.25 DFS points per minute while logging over 32 minutes per game. His salary remains under the average price and I suspect he’ll be keyed up for a revenge game against the team that traded him last August to the Station Eleven-type NBA wasteland that is the District of Columbia. I’d be mad at the Nets if they traded me there, too and I like betting on grudge-carriers.

Latest Team / Player News