Bogdan Bogdanovic,John Konchar
Atlanta Hawks guard Bogdan Bogdanovic (13) prepares to shoots a 3-point basket over Memphis Grizzlies guard John Konchar (46) during the second half of an NBA basketball game Friday, March 18, 2022, in Atlanta. (AP Photo/Hakim Wright Sr.)

SNEAKY NBA DFS PICKS FOR APRIL 5

Mike Shara

After taking a day off from making DFS picks yesterday – well, there weren’t any NBA games scheduled – to enjoy the NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship game last night I’m feeling refreshed and ready to go. There are an even dozen games available to make picks from tonight, so we should be able to find plenty of nooks and crannies with bargains hidden in them, especially with all the roster shakeups making their way throughout the NBA as the league heads into the final week of its regular season.

TRE JONES, PG, San Antonio ($4,000 on DraftKings, $3,700 on FanDuel)
The Spurs have not yet clinched the 10th and final spot in the postseason play-in tournament, although the Lakers’ chances of catching them this week is slim. Despite San Antonio desperately needing to win this game tonight in Denver, unfortunately their All-Star point guard Dejounte Murray will miss the game with a non-Covid illness. In his last two games while replacing Murray, Jones has averaged 1.1 DFS points per minute while playing 33+ minutes in both. Granted, both of those games were against Portland, so chances are his numbers won’t be as big tonight in the thin air of Colorado. However, the Spurs will be playing desperate and the Nuggets haven’t been very good against opposing point guards this year. For that price, he’s an easy cheap option on both formats. 

JOHN KONCHAR, SG/SF, Memphis ($3,800 on DraftKings and FanDuel)
The Grizzlies are in a bit of an unfamiliar position for their franchise, historically speaking. For a nice change, this year they already know they’re in the playoffs and that they’ll most likely be the second seed in the West.  Now it’s just a matter of resting key players, getting Ja Morant healthy (yeah, that may be somewhat important) and seeing which players they’re going to be trusting in a tough postseason series. With Dillon Brooks (hip soreness) likely out tonight in Salt Lake City, Konchar’s minutes will likely see a bump. The third year pro, undrafted out of Purdue-Ft. Wayne(!) in 2019, was up to 24 minutes on Saturday vs. Phoenix and rewarded Memphis with 14 points, 6 rebounds and a steal. He’ll face another stout defense tonight against the Jazz, but for that low price, his chances of a similar night are pretty good considering he’s motivated to prove to coaches that he’s a viable postseason rotation option when the playoffs begin next week.

JOEL EMBIID, C, Philadelphia ($12,000 on DraftKings, $11,600 on FanDuel)
Let’s put it this way…Joel Embiid has a 33.5 points over/under prop bet available from a lot of sites today – and most of the money is going to the over. As you well know, Embiid is in the discussion among the 3 or 4 players in the NBA who are vying for this year’s MVP Award and he deserves every plaudit he’s gotten this season. Night after night he’s been a consistently elite (not good – elite) performer, absolutely carrying an otherwise pretty flawed 76ers team to be one of the top seeds in a very tough Eastern Conference. Tonight’s matchup vs. Indiana might be the most appetizing he’s faced this entire season because the Pacers’ current lineup appears to be the Indianapolis YMCA Intramural Consolation Round Tournament finalist team plus Tyrese Haliburton. The 76ers need this game for seeding purposes so I don’t expect any let up from The Process tonight. For my money he’s the best luxury item tonight of the many that are available.

MOSES BROWN, C, Cleveland ($4,800 on DraftKings, $4,900 on FanDuel)
Or, if you’d prefer to choose your star players at a different position tonight, I’ll also offer a bargain-priced center who should provide a nice dividend. With Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley out of action again tonight, Moses’ minutes will remain higher than usual tonight vs. a soft Orlando defense that will be playing without Wendell Carter Jr. in the middle. He’s played anywhere between 20 and 30 minutes per game over his last four so pinning down a precise number for him tonight is tough, but he’s certainly been productive thus far in his expanded role (comfortably more than a DFS point per minute) and his price remains eminently affordable. Against a bad, banged-up team in a game his team needs to win, I like this as a value play on both platforms today.

ALEPEREN SENGUN, PF/C ($5,800 on FanDuel, $6,700 on DraftKings)
You know you’re in a department store and you ask the sales associate to check the price tag to confirm if it’s right, they tell you and you just nod, say thank you and then run to the register to pay before they realize they’ve made a terrible mistake? That’s pretty much the case on FD today with Sengun (pronounced SHEN-GOON). After missing two games with a minor leg injury, Sengun, a highly skilled 6’9” rookie from Turkey, returned Sunday against Minnesota with 14 points, 15 rebounds, 4 assists and a block in 33 minutes. Tonight his Rockets are justifiably huge underdogs at Brooklyn, but the Nets have allowed over 120 points per game over their last four and have struggled over the last 10 days since Kyrie Irving started having to play home games, too. Houston isn’t going to win tonight, but I expect them to lose a pretty wide open, kind of nuts game with a total of over 250 points scored. He qualifies at PF on both platforms, so you can use him and my center recommendations, too and their collective salaries will balance out nicely.

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