Louisville defensive back Benjamin Perry
Louisville defensive back Benjamin Perry (10) is held up by offensive lineman Bryan Hudson (61) after his scoring a touchdown during the second half of an NCAA college football game in Louisville, Ky., Saturday, Sept. 11, 2021.Louisville won 30-3. (AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)

SGG Picks of the Day, Sept. 17

UFC at Louisville OVER 67.5 points -105 (DK)
I know, I know. 67.5 is an insanely high over/under total for the oddsmakers to put out. That said, it is that insanely high for a reason. In two games this season, UCF has scored 63 and 36 points respectively. Yes, both games were against scrubs. In those games though, they also allowed 14 and 31 respectively. Louisville themselves have scored 30 and 24 points in two games this season. There is no doubt in my mind that UCF will score at least 40 points tonight. They will probably allow at least 30 as well.

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Pirates at Marlins OVER 8 runs -105 (DK)
Pitching for the Pirates in this game is Wil Crowe. In two September starts, Crowe has allowed 10 earned runs over just seven innings pitched. On the season, he has a 5.97 ERA. Simply put, the Marlins will score runs. Pitching for the Marlins is Elieser Hernandez. Over his last four starts, Hernandez has allowed 12 earned runs over 19.1 innings pitched. That is not good. Although both of these team’s offenses are not particularly potent, I believe the pitching in this matchup is even worse. Let’s also not forget that the Pirates have a dreadful bullpen. Runs will be scored.

Maryland OVER 33.5 points -125 (DK)
In two games this season, the Terrapins scored 30 against West Virginia and 62 points against Howard (yeah, I know). On the other hand, over the past two weeks, Illinois has given up 37 points to UTSA and 42 to Virginia. On the year, Illinois’ defense has allowed almost 500 yards of total offense per game. Maryland will have no trouble moving the ball in this game. If able to punch the ball into the end zone (and I don’t see why that wouldn’t be an issue), Maryland will be able to reach the 34-point threshold.

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