SGG Pick of the Day, Sept. 22
L.A. Dodgers at Colorado Rockies – Coors Field 8:40 pm EST
Walker Buehler 14-4, 2.39 ERA vs. German Marquez 12-10, 4.16 ERA
MONEY LINE: Dodgers (-222 on BetMGM), Rockies (+176 on FanDuel)
AGAINST THE SPREAD: Dodgers (-2.5 on BetMGM)
OVER/UNDER: +10.5 (-120) on DraftKings
One team is the defending World Series champion, and the other team hasn’t won anything. One team has a lot at stake tonight and the other team does not. One team has a Cy Young Award contender starting for them and the other team…has never had a Cy Young contender on its roster. This game appears to have potential to end up being a lopsided one, but if you look a little deeper, bettors can find a little more nuance and some ripe opportunities on the margins.
The Dodgers come into this game one game behind the San Francisco Giants for the NL West division title with 11 games remaining. They have won 9 of their last 10 and are on pace to win over 105 games on the season, which would give them one of the best regular season records by a defending World Series champion in the divisional play era. They added two All-Stars at the trade deadline, bolstering their already star-studded lineup with three-time Cy Young Award-winner Max Scherzer and All-Star shortstop Trea Turner.
On the opposite side of the spectrum, the Rockies have been afterthoughts this entire season in a very difficult division. 2021 has been a challenge and the Rockies are at an organizational crossroads with All-Star shortstop Trevor Story set to depart the team via free agency this coming winter, although there have been a few bright spots. Colorado are one of the best teams in the National League at home but have the worst away record in the senior circuit despite just completing a winning road trip. They have won six consecutive games against left-handed starters, but face one of MLB’s best right-handers tonight.
The Rockies are good at home and have played well recently, but L.A.’s offense is rolling, and Buehler pitched very well in his last start in Denver. Colorado is 12 games over .500 ATS and leads MLB with a 46-27 record vs. the spread, while L.A. is under .500 this season against the spread. The Rockies have also covered in 7 of their last 8 vs. the Dodgers. I think the Dodgers win a close one, but the Rockies cover a 2.5 run line spread in a low-scoring game. The Under is 40-31-2 at Coors Field and both teams’ starting pitchers have been pitching well lately and the Rockies have been over just once in their last five and in just 29 of 70 games at home this season. Take the UNDER.