Alperen Sengun,Garrison Mathews,Jordan Poole
Golden State Warriors guard Jordan Poole, middle, is fouled by Houston Rockets guard Garrison Mathews, left, as center Alperen Sengun (28) defends during the second half of an NBA basketball game in San Francisco, Friday, Jan. 21, 2022. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)

Raptors vs. Rockets, Feb. 10

Kyle Barrette

It’s hard to imagine that this same Nets team is the same team that bookmakers still have as the favorite We were cruising along yesterday when, after an insane 9-0 run in just over a minute, we had a push on our hands and Gary Trent Jr. blessed us with a three-pointer with 30 seconds left for the clutch cover. You know what they say, if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it, and we’re going right back to Toronto for today’s play. Will someone finally be able to slow down this Raptors team? Let’s break down this matchup and find out.

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Toronto:
Yesterday we highlighted that this Toronto team has been on a quiet roll lately, and they added yesterday’s win to that streak. It was an easy game yesterday given their previous schedule in the Thunder, and they may have gotten the one team that could be even easier in Houston. So we highlighted Toronto’s defense, which was on display last night and should be here as well. So let’s address the pace factor here, as Houston plays at the second highest pace in the league. They have excelled. Look at how Toronto has done against teams that place at a high pace. The Hornets recently played the Hornets twice, winning both games. The Hornets rank second in pace, just behind Houston, with the only difference being that the Hornets have the league’s second best offense, while the Rockets have the league’s 19th. Now looking at the back to-back situation, again, the Raptors are not phased. They are actually the second best team in the league straight up, playing on no rest. It gets even better. Toronto is actually the best ATS team playing on no rest as they are 8-2 covering the spread on back-to-backs.

Houston:
There is not too much good stuff to say about this Rockets team. They are in the bottom half of the league on offense and they are dead last on defense, allowing the most points per game at 116. They have led the league in pace for a while now, so everyone knows what they are going to get from this team at this point. This game looks like it is going to be missed by Eric Gordon, so there will be next to no veteran leadership for this team in this one, which would be helpful given how the Raptors have been playing. Outside of the Cavs game, where they stormed back after the Cavs were seen laughing at the Rockets players, Houston has lost six of its last seven by 10+ points. Houston has struggled equally at home as on the road. They only have one more win at home than they do on the road. Lastly, of all the teams that beat Houston by 10+, only one team had a higher ranked defense than the Raptors.

Houston vs. Toronto Prediction: Raptors 1H -3.5.
I get the smaller line than yesterday’s matchup given the back to back, but as we highlighted, this situation does not seem to faze Toronto, who has a starting five all under the age of 27. Houston will struggle against this underrated Raptors defense, and without Gordon to stretch the Raptors out to the three-point line, Toronto’s life becomes even easier, and they continue to roll here.
Take the Raptors 1H -3.5.

Same Game Parlay:
Pascal Siakam First Basket, VanVleet Over 19.5 Pts, Gary Trent Jr. Over 19.5 Pts, VanVleet to Score 25+ Pts and Raptors to win by 1-10 Pts. 

SGP Odds +16002

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