Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott
Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) looks to pass behind blockers during an NFL football game against the Atlanta Falcons, Sunday, Nov. 14, 2021, in Arlington, Texas. (AP Photo/Matt Patterson)


Patrick Werkmeister

It has been a very profitable season so far, especially for these primetime games, so it’s only right to give my best bets for this Thanksgiving. In this interconference matchup, Derek Carr and the Las Vegas Raiders travel to Dallas to face off against Dak Prescott and the Cowboys. Last week, Dallas suffered a ten point loss to the Kansas City Chiefs whereas the Raiders were also defeated by the Cincinnati Bengals. Following their loss to the Bengals, the Raiders’ stock and quality of performances are rapidly declining after their last few outings. However, in this game with a weakened team like the Cowboys anything can happen. With this in mind, here is what I like in this traditional holiday matchup.

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Cowboys (-7.5)
The opening line for this game favored the Cowboys by a touchdown and they are currently listed as seven and a half-point home favorite. While Dallas is an impressive 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games, Las Vegas is 0-3 SU and ATS in their last three overall games. Additionally, when the Cowboys are favored by a touchdown or more at home, they have a stellar record of 7-2 ATS in their last nine. After Derek Carr and Josh Jacobs couldn’t get anything going at home vs the Bengals defense, their season now has little to no hope left. Although they have had some success earlier in the season, it will be quite difficult to keep pace with this electric Dallas offense. Prior to their loss to Kansas City, the Cowboys had a convincing 43-3 blowout win over the Atlanta Falcons. Despite missing starters on offense, Dak was still able to throw for 300 yards. As long as he takes care of the ball and manages the offense, the rest of their team should take care of everything else for the win. Take the Cowboys comfortably minus the points to defeat the Raiders.

Ezekiel Elliott Over 62.5 Rushing Yards
After running for just 32 yards on the ground vs the Chiefs, Ezekiel Elliott will be hungry to have a more productive outing this time. Additionally, he only had 9 carries, so expect him to be much more involved in the offensive gameplan. Zeke has been an absolute workhorse for the Boys where he has eight total touchdowns and almost 1,000 yards from scrimmage already. Additionally, he has been a great help in the passing game with 33 receptions on the season. With the 26th overall rush defense in the NFL, the Raiders have had a lot of problems with the run this year. In Week 11, their defense allowed nearly 150 yards rushing vs the Bengals rushing attack. Las Vegas is missing a lot of key players at all levels of the defense, so expect Zeke to be productive in some fashion. With the Cowboys elite offensive front, they should be able to control the line of scrimmage all night. Take Ezekiel Elliott to run by this total rushing yardage prop with ease.

Darren Waller Any Time TD (+130)
With QB Derek Carr slowly improving on his abilities in this new offensive system, Darren Waller is a great candidate to reach the end zone in this one. Although he has just two touchdowns so far this year, he has been extremely productive and has been familiar with the end zone in the past. However, he has not scored since Week 4 but has 16 touchdowns in just three seasons. The Cowboys currently sit in the bottom third in pass defense in the NFL due to multiple injuries on their defense, so expect Waller to have some form of success. He has shown a consistent ability to get open and that is reflected in the abundant amount of targets he has. They’re not a stout unit with all of their injuries, so expect Darren to get his normal numbers and be productive. Take him to score in what should be a relatively high-scoring contest.

Same Game Parlay:
Darren Waller Anytime TD Scorer, Ezekiel Elliot Over 62.5 Rush Yds, Derek Carr Over 6.5 Rush Yds, Josh Jacobs Over 44.5 Rush Yds, Michael Gallup Over 58.5 Rec Yds, Ezekiel Elliot Over 19.5 Rec Yds, Kenyan Drake Over 11.5 Rec Yds, Cowboys to win by 1-13 Pts and Under 64.5 Points.

SGP Odds +70635

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