Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow
Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow (9) looks on during an NFL football game against the Kansas City Chiefs, Sunday, Jan. 2, 2022, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Emilee Chinn)


Patrick Werkmeister

It is now finally the start of the most electric betting season where each team will try to claw their way towards a Lombardi Trophy starting on this Super Wild Card weekend. In this AFC matchup, Derek Carr and the Las Vegas Raiders travel to Paul Brown Stadium where they take on Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals. Last week, the Bengals and their backups suffered a loss to the Cleveland Browns, whereas the Raiders defeated the Chargers in dramatic fashion to sneak into the playoffs. With the Bengals starters essentially coming off a bye, Las Vegas will have to muster up the strength to overcome Joe Burrow and company after playing 70 minutes of football a week ago. With this in mind, here is what I love for this postseason action.

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Bengals (-4.5)
The Bengals opened this game as six and a half-point home favorites, but they are now just favored by four and a half-points. Although Cincinnati is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in their past five matches vs the Raiders, Las Vegas is 6-2 SU and ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog. While the Bengals have been an unreliable team in the playoffs in the last 20 years to say the least, it is certainly a new era in Cincinnati with the productivity they have on offense. The Raiders on the other hand come into this game with very little left in the gas tank. Although Burrow will surely be airing it out, they will have to make sure to feed running back Joe Mixon where he ran for 123 yards and two touchdowns in their regular season beatdown of the Raiders. If Cincy can take care of the ball and run the offense through Mixon, they have a great chance of beating this average Raiders squad. Although this Vegas defensive unit has been a steady group this season, they have had some inconsistencies where they have been scorched on that side of the ball. If the Bengals can just somewhat limit the run and force Derek Carr to make plays, they have a very favorable chance of taking this Wild Card game. Take the Bengals minus the points at home where they are hungry to get their first playoff win since Email was invented.

Joe Mixon Over 74.5 Rushing Yards
After running for 123 yards and two touchdowns on the ground in Week 11 vs the Raiders, Joe Mixon’s elite running abilities have allowed him to have major success on the ground throughout the season, and he’ll look to carry that into this one. Mixon has been an absolute stud for the Bengals where he ranked third in the league in rushing to go along with 16 total TDs. Additionally, he has run the ball at least 12 times in each game this season, so he has been very involved in their game plan this year. While the Raiders’ rush defense has held up for the most part, Mixon has proven he can plow through their defense. With the Bengals young yet solid offensive line, Cincinnati will be sure to keep him very involved in the offense. With his efficient dual-threat ability, he should be able to easily hit this mark as he has done it in 7 starts. Take Joe Mixon to easily run by this total rushing yardage prop.

Josh Jacobs Any Time TD (-110)
With the limited number of scoring options for the Raiders, they will definitely run their offense through Alabama running back Josh Jacobs. The Raiders have relied heavily on Jacobs to be a bell cow in their offense and to finish drives off with six points courtesy of him. On the season, Jacobs has a solid total of 9 rushing touchdowns, but they will once again lean on him as star receiver Darren Waller deals with a knee injury. With over 1,100 total yards from scrimmage, he always finds a way to gain yardage and is currently on a touchdown hot streak. The Bengals do not have a stout rush defense and they will have a tough time with one of the league’s top backs. Additionally, they will have to overcome a very steady Raiders offensive line. This should allow Jacobs to be productive at the very least. Take him to score in what should be an interesting game.

Same Game Parlay:

Josh Jacobs Anytime TD Scorer, Carr Over 249.5 Pass Yds, Mixon Over 75.5 Rush Yds, Tyler Boyd Over 40.5 Rec Yds, Renfrow Over 55.5 Rec Yds, Bengals to win by 1-13 Pts.

SGP Odds +3785

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