Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson
Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) in action in the first half of an NFL football game against the Kansas City Chiefs, Sunday, Sept. 19, 2021, in Baltimore. (AP Photo/Nick Wass)

NFL MNF: Colts vs Ravens Best Bets/Props

Patrick Werkmeister

For this Monday night contest, we have a tremendous matchup where there is a lot of money to be made. In this AFC showdown, QB Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens host the Indianapolis Colts and quarterback Carson Wentz. One squad comes into this one with all the momentum at 3-1, whereas the other is a mediocre 1-3. If the Colts want to turn their season around and have a shot at the playoffs, this game is a must win for them to climb back in the race. After hitting a 9-leg parlay in the NFL on Sunday with staggering odds of +54000, it is evident that these picks bring a lot of good fortune. Check out the legs of this massive parlay on the SGG Twitter page for the tense details. Nonetheless, here’s where I like my money in this match.  

Colts (+7)
The opening point spread for this one favored the Ravens by just under a touchdown at six and a half, but that margin has since increased to Baltimore -7. When the lights shine brightest the Colts deliver, in their last 5 prime time games they are 4-1 ATS. Last week, Indy finally snapped their three game losing streak in their win against the Dolphins. Although their first victory came versus a weak opponent, they definitely displayed vast signs of improvement from their previous weeks. Their defense looked astounding holding Miami to just 203 yards on offense on their way to a 27-17 rout. However, they will have a challenging test in front of them with this Ravens team that has now won three in a row. Coming off their win last week, Lamar Jackson dazzled the crowd with his arm instead of his legs this time, throwing for over 300 yards and a touchdown. With last game being just the third time in his career he has thrown for 300+, the Ravens offense has never really revolved around their poor ability to pass the ball. Instead, they have relied on their outstanding rushing, but usually have nothing to fall back on when their running game hits a wall. If the Colts can find a way to limit Jackson on the ground, they’ll have an excellent chance of covering. Take the underdog plus the points in this contest. 

Jonathan Taylor Over 59.5 Rushing Yards
Following a strong performance with a limited workload in Week 4, Colts running back Jonathan Taylor should have no problem hitting the mark in this one. For a player of his caliber, it is surprising to see this total so low coming off of extra rest. As opposed to last week, Taylor will be coming into this game completely healthy with no injury designation. He ran for 103 yards on 16 attempts for a TD, where his counterparts at RB saw plenty of action. Even if he doesn’t control a large majority of snaps, he’s always in a good spot to pop off. However, he will be fully prepared for 90%+ of the workload now that his injury has healed. Last year, he came in a remarkable third place for total rushing yards on the season among backs like Dalvin Cook and Derrick Henry. He is not taken seriously as he should be yet, so hop on this train fast before everyone else. Take him to easily hit this prop for what should be a run-heavy approach for Indy. 

Mark Andrews Anytime TD (+120)
While tight end Mark Andrews is second in receptions for the Ravens this year, he has yet to haul in a score so he’s well overdue. However, Baltimore has only thrown 4 TD passes therefore, he hasn’t missed out on much. With 7 touchdowns in 2020, he is a big red zone target for this offense and his efficiency down there won’t change now that they are somewhat limited in scoring options. Despite not reaching the end zone yet, Andrews has been more productive than ever where he’s on pace for his first 1,000 yard receiving campaign. The amount of targets he gets per contest yields a high probability given his perfect red zone stature. At odds of +120, this prop has exceptional value seeing how much the Ravens use him near the end zone and the fact that he’s due. Take him to capture a score for what should be another fruitful day from him.

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