NFL DIVISIONAL ROUND: BENGALS VS TITANS BEST BETS PROPS
Following a relatively uneventful, yet profitable, Wild Card weekend in the NFL playoffs, these divisional contests are lined up to be exciting games from start to finish. In this AFC matchup, Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals travel to Nissan Stadium where they take on Derrick Henry and the Tennessee Titans. Last week, the Bengals were able to hold on and defeat the Las Vegas Raiders, 26-19, whereas the number one-seed Titans were on a well-earned bye week. With Tennessee coming off a bye and playing in front of their home crowd, Cincinnati will have to muster up the strength to overcome King Derrick and company after playing in a game that went down to the wire. With this in mind, here is what I love in this postseason action.
The Titans opened this game as three-point home favorites and they are currently favored by three and a half-points. While Cincinnati is an impressive 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games, last week the home favorites were 5-1 ATS. Additionally, quarterbacks making their first road playoff start have gone just 6-15 SU and 9-12 ATS historically. Although the Bengals pulled off an impressive victory against the Raiders last week, it cost them multiple injuries on both sides of the ball to key players. Sophomore QB Joe Burrow has been able to will his squad to multiple victories; however, while on the road against top 15 offenses, the Bengals have allowed an average of 29 points per game. With juggernaut running back Derrick Henry back from his midseason foot injury, just his presence alone should open up the passing game for Ryan Tannehill. If Henry receives a full workload, they should easily cover this margin vs this hobbled Cincy defense. While this Bengals defensive unit has been subpar, even when they’re fully healthy, the Titans let up just 3.9 rushing yards per attempt, which is the least of any playoff team. Take Tennessee minus the points, where they will out scheme Joe Burrow and the Bengal offense.
Ja’Marr Chase Over 77.5 Receiving Yards
Following an outstanding performance vs the Raiders, rookie receiver Ja’Marr Chase should have another very productive game in the Bengals electric passing attack. Last week, he totaled 116 receiving yards on nine receptions. Additionally, in his last three starts (excluding Week 18) he has a staggering 34 targets, so Joe Burrow has been sure to keep him involved as a big part of their offense. Chase has shown he will have a fruitful career and with his receiving total this low, it must be taken advantage of. With fellow receivers Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd, Chase is a perfect centerpiece to this offense who is impossible to slow down. The Titans pass defense has not been stellar where they allowed the 5th most passing yards per game in the regular season. Ja’marr has been productive no matter the opposition, so expect him to find some form of success against this inferior secondary. Chase has had some monstrous outings this year where he had nearly 300 yards receiving in one game and is on pace to be named Offensive Rookie of the Year. With how big of a threat, he is out wide and in the slot, he’ll make teams pay that give him any space at all. Expect Ja’Marr to stay hot, have a big night overall and take him to get it done on the receiving end with ease.
Derrick Henry Any Time TD (-195)
With his injury healing just in time for the playoffs, superstar Derrick Henry should have a feast fit for a king against this crippled Cincy defense. The 28-year-old round made huge contributions to their running game where in just 8 starts he had nearly 1,000 yards, 10 touchdowns, and finished top 10 in rushing yards. He is a hard runner who finishes drives in the end zone complemented by an excellent offensive line. With the ability to hit a home run on any given play, he always finds a way to gain yardage and is due to score in this one. The Bengals rush defense is less than stout to say the least and they will have a tough time with the best back in recent history. This should allow Derrick to be productive at the very least. Take him to score in what should be a run-heavy scheme for the Titans offense.
Same Game Parlay
Derrick Henry Anytime TD Scorer, Joe Burrow Under 278.5 Pass Yds, Ryan Tannehill Under 238.5 Pass Yds, Ryan Tannehill Over 15.5 Rush Yds, Ja’Marr Chase Over 77.5 Rec Yds and Titans to win by 1-13 Pts.
SGP Odds +6413