Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott
Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) prepares to throw a pass as New York Giants linebacker Quincy Roche (95) defends in the second half of an NFL football game in Arlington, Texas, Sunday, Oct. 10, 2021. (AP Photo/Ron Jenkins)

NFL BEST BETS, OCT. 17

Patrick Werkmeister

Following another 2-1 performance in Thursday Night Football’s edition of ‘Best Bets’, these picks continue to be a roaring success. Last week’s +54000 9-leg parlay still feels surreal. If you haven’t seen this massive bet I cashed, check it out on the SGG Twitter page to have your mind blown. While it would be difficult to say the least to hit back-to-back insane parlays, these three picks have been carefully chosen so that there’s always a solid chance of going 3-0. For this fun filled Week 6 NFL slate, here are my favorite plays for this Sunday.


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Chargers (+3) @ Ravens
From “the bank” in Baltimore, Lamar Jackson and the Ravens host OG Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers. The Ravens opened up as three-point home favorites in this one, which is where this line currently stands. Going into Sunday, LA is an outstanding 8-1 ATS in their previous 9 contests. Last week, the Chargers were able to fend off the Cleveland Browns and miraculously cover with a game-winning touchdown. While they put up a staggering 47 bomb vs an above average defense, LA’s defense allowed more than expected, giving up 42 points. However, with their electric offense, not many teams will be able to match their output. Although LA is facing a top AFC team, Baltimore does not have the firepower their opponents have. Last Monday night, the Colts were embarrassing the Ravens on their home field 22-3 in the third quarter, until Lamar Jackson willed his way to a Baltimore victory. Even though he was able to put the team on his back, at the end of the day, they barely defeated a subpar team. If their defense gave up 400 yards of passing to Carson Wentz, I cannot imagine what Justin Herbert’s stats will look like. Take advantage of this baffing line for the Chargers to cover.

Cowboys (-3.5) @ Patriots
For this cross-conference matchup, the red-hot Dallas Cowboys travel to Foxborough to face off against the New England Patriots. Dallas was initially favored by just one point for this one, but they have since jumped to three and a half-point road favorite. The Boys have been a profitable team to bet on this season, so far, they are 5-0 ATS. In Week 6, the Patriots had their troubles with the dysfunctional Houston Texans but were able to squeeze out the W. Their two victories this season have been against the one-win Texans and the one-win Jets, so not much has improved for them from last year so far. They’ll seemingly have to wait until Mac Jones blooms into the starting QB he’s supposed to be. However, Dallas has nothing to worry about with their starting quarterback Dak Prescott, where he helps the Cowboy offense average 35 points per game. Although New England is a tough squad to beat on their home turf, Dallas is a Super Bowl contender, whereas the Patriots are still trying to find themselves. Take Dallas on the road to slaughter this bottom-tier Bill Belichick team.  

Seahawks @ Steelers (-4.5)
In this Sunday night game, head coach Pete Carroll and the Seattle Seahawks go head-to-head versus coach Mike Tomlin and the Pittsburgh Steelers. The opening line for this one did have the Seahawks as two and a half-point road favorite, but since Russell Wilson went down, this spread moved six points in the Steelers favor. In their previous 7 contests, Seattle is a shoddy 2-5 ATS. With the Steelers now -4.5 favorites at home, that trend should continue. Last week, Pittsburgh bounced back in a strong win over the tough Denver Broncos. While the Steelers defense has been their only bright spot lately, running back Najee Harris shined brightly with 150 yards from scrimmage and a touchdown. This was the first time Pittsburgh outgained another offense this season, and that trend should continue against a banged-up Seahawks team. In addition to chef Russ, starting RB Chris Carson will be out for Seattle. With so many key players absent, that will make this matchup so much more difficult for the Hawks than it already is. Take the Steel City minus the points to cover in primetime.

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