Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow
Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow (9) runs up the middle away from pressure during an NFL football game against the Green Bay Packers, Sunday, Oct. 10, 2021, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Zach Bolinger)


Patrick Werkmeister

After delivering a 3-0 result as I promised last NFL Sunday, these picks are back on track for money. Although this week’s slate is a slightly more challenging one than others, there are some easy winners to take a look at. However, there are no sure things in the NFL. This week’s ‘Best Bets’ will be all about redemption as all three of these teams try to avenge their disappointing losses back in Week 8. Nevertheless, these squads are all the favorites in these picks. With that in mind, here are the best plays for the official halfway point in the regular season for the NFL.

Draft Kings nfl pROMOTION

Browns @ Bengals (-2.5)
For the Battle of Ohio, Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals faceoff against Baker Mayfield and the visiting Cleveland Browns. The Bengals opening line has them as three point home favorites and they are currently favored by two and a half. While Cincinnati is 1-3 ATS in their last four games as a home favorite, Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in their last five games on the road. For this AFC North rivalry, both of these teams are coming off tough losses and both desperately need a win to stay in the playoff hunt. Last week, Cleveland suffered a dramatic defeat at home at the hands of the Pittsburgh Steelers, 15-10. Following an abysmal performance by both Baker Mayfield and Odell Beckham Jr., the Browns and Odell decided to cut ties with each other as he was released. Distractions are not what Cleveland needs for a pivotal road game after dropping three of their last four. The Browns are currently in the middle of a death spiral that will be nearly impossible to get out of. However, besides a slight bump in the road versus hall of famer Mike White and the New York Jets, the Bengals are still loaded with their ridiculous roster. In the Browns three games against teams with winning records this season they’ve lost all of them, and I expect that trend to continue here. Lay the points with the Bengals at home.

Chargers (-1.5) @ Eagles
In this interconference matchup, Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers travel to Philadelphia to do battle with Jalen Hurts and the Eagles. The Chargers opened as three-point road favorites in this one and are currently favored by just one and a half-points. While LA is a stellar 8-3 ATS in their last 11 contests, Philadelphia is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs AFC teams. Last week, the Eagles soundly defeated the Lions 44-6 whereas the Chargers are coming off of a disappointing loss to the New England Patriots. However, the Eagles 38-point win margin is quite deceptive. During the victory, Jalen Hurts completed just nine passes against the Lions and had barely completed 50% of his passes in the two games prior. He clearly has no synergy with his wideouts, and with LA’s tremendous pass defense, it could get ugly on offense for Philly in this one. As long as Justin Herbert recovers from his mediocre performance last week and plays well, the Chargers should win with ease. Take LA to cover on the road.

Cardinals @ 49ers (-3)
From Levi’s Stadium in San Francisco, Jimmy Garoppolo and the 49ers look to defend home field against Kyler Murray and the Arizona Cardinals. This opening line favored Arizona by three points, but that line has flipped where the Cardinals are now three-point road underdogs. The reason for this line volatility is in regard to the status of Cardinals QB Kyler Murray, he is listed as a game-time decision. While Arizona is 5-1 ATS in their previous six overall games, the 49ers are 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. They are one of the worst home teams in the NFL right now, but they are well overdue for a home win with the talent they have. With Kyler Murray banged up for this contest, they have a great opportunity to take control of this game on defense. Additionally, despite dropping 4 of their last 5 games, San Francisco’s offense has been very productive, and they have a great mismatch with this banged up Cardinals defense. Either way I think the 49ers are in a great position to take this divisional game. Take the home favorite 49ers plus the points for this one. 

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