Georgia quarterback JT Daniels
Georgia quarterback JT Daniels (18) throws a pass against South Carolina during the first half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Sept. 18, 2021, in Athens, Ga. (AP Photo/Butch Dill)

NCAAF Best Bets, Oct. 2

Patrick Werkmeister

Astonishingly, it is already Week 5 in this college football season and there are some terrific matchups on tap. With this action-packed slate, it was somewhat challenging to settle on three best bets. Nonetheless, these plays will prove to be an excellent source of income this weekend. Last week’s featured bets for college football went 2-1 and these are primed for a similar result on Saturday. Although consistency has been hard to come by, that will all change with these juicy picks. Here is what I’m going with on this fun-filled day.

DraftKings Promotion

Arkansas @ Georgia (Under 50.5)
We start in Athens at Sanford Stadium where the Georgia Bulldogs host the Arkansas Razorbacks. The opening total for this contest was 48.5 but has since been bet up to O/U 50.5. In Arkansas’s last match, they were able to pull off an emphatic upset over Texas A&M in a low scoring 20-10 final. Their defense led the way in limiting the ordinarily productive Aggie offense to just 270 total yards. If they want to survive this daunting matchup with the Bulldogs, their defense will once again have to put up a solid performance. They will be well-prepared with their veteran unit where they are ranked third in the SEC in total defense and only allow 14.5 points per game. Although it’s tough to see Georgia score more than four touchdowns, Arkansas is going to have some real trouble against the number one defense in the country. As a 36-point favorite last Saturday, Georgia was relentless in their 62-0 rout of Vanderbilt. The Bulldog’s defense held Vandy to a miraculous 77 yards of total offense. Through four weeks, they are allowing 181 yards and 5.8 points per game. This defense is scary good and will play a leading role in hitting the under. Take U 50.5 where points should only come at a premium.

Cincinnati (-1.5) @ Notre Dame
From South Bend, Indiana, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish take on the Cincinnati Bearcats. Initially, the Irish were barely favored by one and a half-points, but early bettors jumped on Cincy which makes them the current favorite. While the Bearcats were resting during their bye week, Notre Dame demolished Wisconsin 41-13. However, the Badgers were in a close game with the Irish up until the fourth quarter, where they were amazingly outscored 31-3. If Badger QB Graham Mertz does not turn the ball over four times with two interceptions returned for a touchdown in the quarter, the end result could have been different. The game shouldn’t have been as close as it was for as long as it was. Wisconsin has proved time and time again that this is a down year for the program and they are not to be taken seriously, so take their victory over Wisconsin with a grain of salt. Meanwhile, Heisman hopeful Desmond Ridder and the Bearcats have had two weeks to prepare for this big game. Take them to cover vs a banged up Notre Dame team, especially at QB where their normal starter Jack Coan will be out. 

Ole Miss (+14.5) @ Alabama
For this SEC match in Tuscaloosa, quarterback Bryce Young and Alabama look to hold off Heisman candidate QB Matt Corral and the Ole Miss Rebels. The opening spread for this one has remained the same, favoring ‘Bama by just over two touchdowns. Although betting against Nick Saban and the legendary program he has built is dangerous, this Rebels squad is loaded with talent and 14.5 is just too many points to give them. In their last 7 games vs Alabama, Ole Miss is 5-2 ATS. The last time the Tide faced Ole Miss, the Rebels gave them all they could handle where they scored on every possession. Since then, Ole Miss is now leading the country in yards per game and has a defense that has exponentially improved. While Alabama has looked like the number one team in the country most of the time, they were extremely vulnerable in their contest with Florida two weeks ago, where they only won by two. Expect Mississippi to keep this close as they come into this one armed and ready. Take the Rebs plus the points.

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