Luka Doncic
Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic (77) dribbles during the first half of an NBA basketball game against the Detroit Pistons in Dallas, Tuesday, Feb. 8, 2022. (AP Photo/LM Otero)


Patrick Werkmeister

After a shoddy 1-2 performance in yesterday’s NBA best bets, this contest is a great opportunity to bounce back. In this interconference matchup, Jayson Tatum and the Boston Celtics host Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks. Last game out, Boston was able to defeat the Detroit Pistons, 114-103, and the Mavericks took care of the Houston Rockets, 113-100. Both of these teams are led by their own superstar and that’s why they’re near the top of their conference. However, during the midseason grind, players and teams alike can lose their rhythm due to the harsh schedule of an 82-game season. With this in mind, here are the best bets and player props for this NBA Thursday contest.


Mavericks (+7.5)
The opening line for this match originally favored the Celtics by five points but they are now seven and a half-point home favorites. While the Celtics have won five games in a row, the Mavs are an impressive 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games. With the Mavs on fire covering the spread this past month, they are in a great spot to cover this wide margin. Dallas comes into this one 5th in the West with a 41-26 record, whereas the Celtics are also 5th in the East with a 41-27 record. Although Boston will be in front of their home crowd in this one, they will have to keep phenom forward Luka Doncic at bay. Nonetheless, they will still have to find a way to defeat one of the best road teams in the league. While the Celtics have been playing their best basketball of the season, both of these squads are among the best in their conference and I like the Mavs in this spot to stay hot. Take Luka and the Mavs plus the points vs the Celtics.

Luka Doncic Over 30.5 Points
Following a 30 point performance in his last outing vs Houston, Luka Doncic has shown he is as steady as they come in this league of uncertainty. Luka is averaging 28 points and 9 assists and has again been showing the league why he’s one of the best. Doncic has been shouldering the load in each appearance, where he is seemingly going all out to get his first MVP. With injuries to key players like Tim Hardaway Jr, Luka has been able to produce the lion’s share of points and has picked up where he left off before the break. However, the Celtics have a formidable defense and have allowed the 7th lowest points per game in the NBA, so he’ll have to push the pace in this one to get his daily dose of baskets. This prop has amazing value given his ridiculous numbers in the last month. While he has a low of 15 points this season, I’m going to ride the hot hand and take him to once again produce at an efficient rate. Take Luka to score more than his total points prop with ease.

Jaylen Brown Over 3.5 Assists
After dropping 4 dimes in his last outing vs the Pistons, Jaylen Brown has shown he can be as efficient a distributor as he has been a scorer this season. Brown has become a maestro in turning a good shot into a great shot and doesn’t hesitate to give the ball to an open teammate. Brown is one of the few point men on their squad and that has allowed him to have plenty of assist opportunities. In his past 10 games, he has gone over this mark in 7 of those appearances. This prop has amazing value given his steady numbers this season. While he averages just over 3 assists per game, I’m going to ride with the passing hand of Brown and take him to once again produce at an efficient rate. Take him to have more than his total assists prop.

Same Game Parlay:
Mavericks +7.5, Tatum Over 28.5 Pts, Luka Doncic Over 8.5 Rebounds, Luke Doncic Over 30.5 Pts, Jaylen Brown Over 3.5 Assists and Under 216.5 pts

SGP Odds +4409

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