MNF: BEARS VS STEELERS BEST BETS/PROPS, NOV. 8
Following an abysmal 0-3 performance in last week’s edition of Monday Night Football, this game is guaranteed to deliver more positive results. In this cross-conference matchup, rookie QB Justin Fields and the Chicago Bears travel to Pittsburgh to face off against Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers. Last week, the Bears suffered an 11-point defeat to the 49ers whereas the Steelers were able to pull off an impressive upset victory over the Browns in Cleveland. With one team struggling and the other gaining momentum, it’ll take a perfect scheme that is well executed for the underdogs to have a covering chance. With that in mind, here is what I love in this primetime battle.
The line for this game opened favoring the Steelers by five points, but they have since been up to six and a half-point home favorite. Although Pittsburgh is 0-6 ATS in the last 6 as a home favorite, with this spread still at one possession, I think it’s more than reasonable for them to cover this margin. With Big Ben having the 2nd longest streak without an INT since Week 4, as long as he plays at this level of efficiency, they can win every game. Their defense has been dominating offenses all year long led by edge rusher TJ Watt. With injuries to RB David Montgomery and basically the entire offensive line, Chicago’s offense is not equipped to overcome this impregnable defense. The only chance they stand lies with their defense, but with a developing Steelers offense at home, it should be a long night overall for them. Now that the Pittsburgh offense have found part of their identity with rookie running back Najee Harris, they are low-key the most complete roster in the NFL. I like Pittsburgh in this spot to continue their three-game winning streak and will be taking them to cover this relatively large margin at home.
Najee Harris Over 82.5 Rushing Yards
After running for 90 yards on the ground with a total of 120 yards from scrimmage vs the Browns, rookie Najee Harris is just getting started in his young career. Harris has been an absolute workhorse for Pittsburgh where he is averaging 24 carries and 28 touches to go along with three touchdowns during this three-game win streak. Additionally, in that span, he has averaged 98 rushing yards for a total average of 130 yards from scrimmage per game. With Chicago missing key players in their front seven, Najee is expected to have a full-on feast in this one. In Week 8, 79 of his 91 rushing yards came from in between the guards up the gut, so expect him to have a field day versus this weakened Bears line. Take Najee Harris to run by this total rushing yardage prop with ease.
Chase Claypool Any Time TD (+165)
With normal WR1 Juju Smith-Schuster out for the year for Pittsburgh, receiver Chase Claypool serves as a great candidate to get in the end zone. Although no one in the Steelers receiving core was able to produce six points in their 15 point performance last week, Claypool has the ideal red zone receiving stature and he’s well overdue for a score. With only one touchdown so far on the year, Claypool hasn’t had a score since Week 5 and has not had much action overall on the year. The Bears currently own the 26th best pass defense in the NFL, so this puts him in a great spot to at least be productive. He has shown the freak-like abilities of Calvin Johnson and is always hungry for the end zone where in 2020 he crossed the plane nine times. They’re not an especially stout unit, even more so without All-Pro end Khalil Mack, so expect Chase to have some form of success. Take him to score in what should be a total rout of the Chicago defense.
Same Game Parlay:
Chase Claypool Anytime TD Scorer, Najee Harris Anytime 1st Half TD Scorer, Roethlisberger Over 240.5 Pass Yds, Najee Harris Over 82.5 Rush Yds, Justin Fields Over 36.5 Rush Yds, Allen Robinson Over 37.5 Rec Yds, Pat Freiermuth Over 33.5 Rec Yds, Steelers to win by 1-13 Pts and Under 56.5 Total Pts.
SGP Odds +54646