Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic (77) dribbles against Detroit Pistons forward Jerami Grant (9) during the first quarter of an NBA basketball game in Dallas, Tuesday, Feb. 8, 2022. (AP Photo/LM Otero)


Kyle Barrette

The Rockets did just as we thought they would last night; they hung around and ended up covering the huge spread. Tonight there is a team similar who has been covering tons of their games and should have tons of value in basically a meaningless game. We’re heading to Detroit for tonight’s game, where the Pistons are hosting the Mavs.

The Mavericks will start everyone, it looks like. Expect them to play pretty hard over the course of the first half, and then the effort will dwindle as the game gets later. Dallas is basically locked into the four seed. They could possibly get to the number three seed, but they would need to win out and the Warriors would need to lose out. I don’t think the Mavericks would mind playing the Jazz in the first round. Finally, winning in overtime against a depleted Grizzlies team isn’t exactly a confidence booster. Dallas also defeated the Jazz pretty handily twice last month, so it would be someone they beat that they are pretty familiar with.

Like the Rockets, this team is young and plays with a lot of heart. So in situations like this, where you expect probably a half to three quarters of an effort from the Mavs, these guys will still play hard and try to win because they know their time is almost up for this season. The Pistons actually come into this game on a three-game winning streak. Their losses recently have all been close games. The public loves to fade what they perceive as a bad team, but we know that in the given situation and this team’s track record, this is a prime spot for them to succeed.

Mavericks vs Pistons Pick: Pistons +9.5
I’m not saying the Pistons are the next Suns. They are a young team that many teams overlook and they get a ton of points because of their record and public perception. They are a sports book money maker – a bad team that can consistently cover big spreads that no one wants to bet on. Take the value and the Pistons at +9.5.

Same Game Parlay:
Pistons +9.5, Saddiq Bey First Basket, Mavericks to win by 1-10 Pts, Mavericks Over 114.5 Team Pts and Pistons Over 105.5 Team Pts.

SGP Odds +3799

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