Tyler Herro,Obi Toppin,Cam Reddish
Miami Heat guard Tyler Herro (14) goes to the basket as New York Knicks forward Obi Toppin (1) and forward Cam Reddish (21) defend during the second half of an NBA basketball game, Wednesday, Jan. 26, 2022, in Miami. The Heat won 110-96. (AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)


Kyle Barrette

The 2021 NBA Draft has a chance to be historic. 20 years from now there is a strong chance that We make our return to the hardwood tonight as the post-all-star games have begun and the playoff races are taking shape. Today’s highlighted matchup features two teams headed in the opposite direction in that aspect. Before the all-star break, the Heat had the best record in the East, and they hope to keep it that way. The Knicks had a lot of questionable moments leading into the break and have an outside shot at making the playoffs but need to flip a switch quickly. Who has the advantage here? Let’s break down the matchup and find out.  


It was a week to forget heading into the break for the Knicks. Surrendering two 20-point leads in the same week is the thing most teams have nightmares about. Sandwich in an overtime loss to an 18-win team and you have a bonafide crisis. New York is not a place that tolerates this type of play for long, and their only shot at redemption is a strong second half and a run into the playoffs. The question now is, what will this team look like after the break? They get a top test right off the bat in Miami and it doesn’t get easier after that, as they have back-to-back games against Philly followed by a game against the Suns. If they can win a few of these, their morale can go through the roof, but a few bad losses and this team looks poised to mail it in. Their defense still remains in the top 10, but the offense has hindered this team the last few years, as they have fallen to 27th in the NBA. Barrett looks like he has a shot at returning tonight, and they need his offense to have a shot here.

We’re excited to see how that plays out. Miami is battling for the top seed, so the Knicks won’t get any sympathy from this team. A fully healthy Heat squad is 6-2 in the month of February. Miami has a top five defense, but their offense has dipped below the league average as they sit 17th in points scored per game. The Heat are the sixth best ATS team in the league, ahead of teams like Dallas, Phoenix, and Golden State. They stay in the sixth spot on the road as well, covering road games at just under 60%. Looking at the Knicks, they only cover 43% of games at the Garden.

Heat vs Knicks The Pick: Heat -5.5
This Heat team is full of veterans who have gone through a return from the all-star break, and while that doesn’t make them immune to being rusty, they can expect it to wear off quicker than this Knicks team. The Heat are going back and forth with Chicago for the one seed and can’t afford to drop games against teams with the caliber of the Knicks. The Heat have a 60% cover rate on the road so give me Miami at -5.5. 

Same Game Parlay:
Heat -5.5, Bam Adebayo First Basket, Jimmy Butler Over 20.5 Pts, Jimmy Butler Over 5.5 Assists, Heat to win by 1-10 Pts and Heat Team Total Over 108.5 Pts.

SGP Odds +11758


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