Heat 76ers Basketball
Philadelphia 76ers' Joel Embiid scores against Miami Heat's Jimmy Butler during the first half of Game 4 of an NBA basketball second-round playoff series, Sunday, May 8, 2022, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Matt Slocum)


Kyle Barrette

How? Literally the question I was asking myself watching the Celtics choke away a 14 point lead with 10 minutes left in the fourth quarter on their home floor. I mean you may as well not even show up for game six at this point. Giannis is making threes and defending you while blood is streaming down his face and you choked a 14 point lead at home and now you think you’re going to go into Milwaukee and take game six? No chance. We’re going back to the Philly and Heat series for today’s selection.

This is a tough spot for Philly and all eyes are going to be on Embiid. You just had the wind knocked out of you and now you’re back at home facing elimination, how do you respond? Now this game will be closer because Philly won’t shoot 36% again so expect both teams shooting numbers to even out. Here is the problem for Philly, you got Embiid back and it took Miami two games to figure out how to defend with him on the floor. If you’re Philly you now need to figure out a different way to win this game because they now know how to defend what beat them in games three and four and you have one shot at figuring it out because if you lose you’re going home.

The Heat have to be riding high heading into this game. You finally figured out how to play this team that’s been beating you up for two games. You blew them out by 35, and you shot the ball way better. This is where the veteran edge of this team is going to come to light. These guys have been here before this team has been through the playoffs the past two seasons. Miami has a way better defense if they play half of the way they did in game five. Philly is going to be in for a long night. 

76ers vs Heat Pick: Heat +2.5
You need to remember the market gives you lines based on where they want the money to go, not what the outcome should be. The public has watched Miami struggle in Philly, the narrative has been someone needs to win on the road and the favorite is not going to lose at home in an elimination game. Look at the series for what it is and read in between the lines. Heat +2.5.

Same Game Parlay:
Heat +2, Joel Embiid First Basket, Joel Embiid Over 25.5 Pts, Bam Adebayo Over 16.5 Pts and P.J. Tucker Over 5.5 rebounds.

SGP Odds +8178

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