Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers
Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) calls out signals while under the center during the second half of an NFL football game against the New Orleans Saints, Sunday, Sept. 12, 2021, in Jacksonville, Fla. (AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack)

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers Best Bets / Props

Patrick Werkmeister

This Sunday Week 2 slate in the NFL was chock-full of surprises. From the betting lines to fantasy football, everything seemed out of whack. Hopefully this Monday Night contest can be a step towards normalcy. Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers hope to bounce back at home against Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions. The headline for this one surrounds the Packers embarrassing 38-3 loss against the New Orleans Saints. This loss has proven especially shameful due to the Saints blowout Week 2 loss to the Carolina Panthers, 26-7. Although Rodgers played a large role in their destruction in Week 1, he will be able to get back on track and display his brilliance in this mismatch. Here’s how I expect this game to go down.

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Packers (-12.5)
This opening line initially favored Green Bay by 11 points, but the current spread has the Packers -12.5. Last week, Detroit was being mauled by San Francisco 31-10, until they were able to get some garbage time scores that somehow put them in the game. It was a moral victory for Detroit in their 8-point loss, but their original 21 point deficit is vastly overlooked. Despite his 338 passing yards, a majority of Jared Goff’s production came when the game was already out of reach. He won’t see an easier task versus this Green Bay defense even though they gave up 38 points. Although they were able to showcase their red zone efficiency and score points, the Saints only gained a total of fewer than 300 total yards on offense. With Rodgers presumably getting back to his regular form alongside his star wideout Davante Adams, they should be dangerous the rest of the season. Take the Packers by a landslide. 

Over (48.5)
The total for this game has not moved from its opening line and is currently O/U 48.5. If there was an offense to be concerned about for this over, it’s the Lions. However, they were able to put up a whopping 33 points on a stout 49ers defense. Even though the Packers defense is formidable, they don’t pose the threat Detroit just played. With Green Bay poised to bounce back and put up a lot of points and the Lions coming off of a 33-point performance, this over seems somewhat low. Rodgers will also have some help from his same name accomplice, Aaron Jones, where he should be able to feast against this poor Detroit rushing defense. The question is whether the Lions will hold up their end of the bargain and I believe they will. Jared Goff did an excellent job of utilizing his running backs and maximizing every play, despite the results. In the Lions past 11 games the over is 8-3, whereas the Packers total has gone over in four of their last five. Look for both of these offensives to get into a rhythm in what should be a high-scoring affair.  

Robert Tonyan Anytime TD (+180)
Outside of Davante Adams, Aaron Rodgers doesn’t really have a go to guy except when the numbers of Robert Tonyan pop out. He was second in touchdowns (11) and receptions (52) on his team that was led by his league MVP QB last season. His status on this offense is underrated and can’t go unnoticed. While he serves as a reliable security blanket for Rodgers, he has shown advanced skill in creating big plays and being efficient in the red zone. Tonyan has scored a TD in four of Green Bay’s last five games against an NFC North opponent. Alongside these mouthwatering odds of +180, this scorer’s prop has tremendous value. With this Packers offense against this Lions defense, they will be able to score at will, so Tonyan will have plenty of opportunities to see the end zone. After not scoring last week where his offense didn’t even see the red zone, the stage is set for Tonyan to at least get some end zone looks. Take him to catch one of the many TD passes Rodgers will throw.   

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