Degens Only: Tuesday Plays, Mar. 16
Free agency has already started, but the winner has already been crowned. The Washington Football Team won the free agency sweepstakes when they became the ninth team to sign the magic man himself… Ryan “Fitz Magic” Fitzpatrick. That’s right, Fitz will be taking his talents to Washington this season, where when looking at the roster, he is almost guaranteed to be the starter. That’s right, you guessed it, that means another whole year of “Fitz Magic” moments.
In all seriousness, it was a busy day one of free agency where we saw the next chess moves by Bill BeliCHECK. Clearly he is taking this whole life after Brady thing not personal at all. He added some serious talent to the defensive side of the ball giving the Pats a chance to win games when they score 20 points and Cam throws for 145 yards. In all seriousness, all of the Patriots Super Bowl wins were complimented by a stout defense and by the looks of it that’s where their trying to get back to. Also we know a Patriots offense just won’t work without a tight end and after today we can check that box off as well. Please football gods can we have a Patriots vs Bucs Super Bowl. It just needs to happen on so many levels, except for the Bills Mafia. While were waiting for our prayers to be answered let’s make some money with today’s plays.
No Wings: Red Wings Team Total under 2.5
We rode this trend earlier in the year and to this point the wings haven’t got any better and this opponent makes this a good spot to capitalize on it again. The Red Wings have only scored three or more goals in nine of 29 games this season. Detroit is 1-3 scoring over the total in games against the Hurricanes this season. The Hurricanes have been playing some of their best defense of the season as they are on a win streak that currently sits at eight. More importantly the Hurricanes have not allowed more than two goals in their last seven games. Against one of the league’s worst teams take the trends to continue and play Detroit’s team total under 2.5.
Mini Avalanche: Av’s/Ducks Under 5.5
I don’t mean to play conflicting trends, I promise, but hear me out through this one. A few days ago we played a team total against the Ducks who have been playing like they haven’t had anyone between the pipes they have been allowing so many goals. Now we get this matchup and were playing an under for the whole game? So here’s why, just this month alone the Av’s are 6-2 to the under of this total. In fact only nine of their 26 games have gone over this posted total. The out of the three games played between these teams two of the three have gone under this total. The Avalanche have allowed only two goals in their last three games combined. I think it is going to be hard for the ducks to score on this defense and the Avalanche don’t light up the score board. Take the under 5.5.
New York New York: Islanders Money Line +100
Two of the top teams are going to clash tonight as first place in the Eastern division will be determined. The Islanders offense has been the catalyst for the team’s success so far this season. They rank fourth in expected goals and second in high danger chances. Meaning they are busy around the opponents net. The Islanders are on a nine game win streak and have scored three or more goals in six of the eight games they have played so far this month. The goaltending has been sound as they have only allowed opponents to score more than two goals in one of their last nine games. Washington has been able to match the Islanders offensive output, but where they fall short is their goaltending. Washington has allowed teams to score three or more goals in four of their last eight. With Washington having played last night in Buffalo and the Islanders having the advantage in net, take the Islanders on the money line.
Portland, Pelicans, and Points: Blazers/Pelicans over 230
I must sound like a broken record but this team is hitting overs at 72 percent! I simply cannot advise passing on an opportunity with a team hitting that consistent especially when their playing a high scoring team like the Blazers. Portland themselves rank 11th with an over/under record of 21-17. Combined these two teams are hitting overs at a 63.5 percent clip. The Pelicans have had a team score 135 points in two of their three games played since the all-star break. Portland has had a team score 125+ in two of their three games since the break. With CJ back in the lineup this Blazers team should continue to pile up the points, especially against one of the worst defenses in the league. This one soars over, take the over 230.