Degens Only – Tuesday Plays, Feb. 2
Nearly half of my life Tom Brady has been in the Super Bowl; at this point I’m ready to call it a tradition. I’m convinced that as long as he continues to never eat strawberries he’s going to play forever.
With this year’s Madden tournament ending in the “Pro Bowl,” the reality of this being the last week of football is setting in. It seems like just yesterday we were talking about how weird it was seeing Tom Brady in a Bucs uniform and if Mahomes would make it back to the big game.
As we get ready to transition from the gridiron to filling in our brackets – it’s time to start our morning shootaround and get into Tuesday’s top plays.
Nothing But Net: Montreal / Vancouver Over 6 Goals
I know, not what you were thinking. See what no football does to a guy? Stay with me here for a second. The Canadiens have played nine games so far this season and four of them have been against this Canucks team. How many of the games have gone over the posted total? The answer is all of them. In the four games these teams have played, they have scored a combined 36 goals averaging nine goals per game. No surprise these two teams are ranked first and second in the league in goals scored. Vancouver ranks second in goals allowed and the Canadiens rank first in shots per game. With nine goals being the average between these two, the lamp should be lit plenty of times tonight. Take the over 6 goals.
In Ja We Trust: Memphis +6
Don’t look now but the Grizz are winners of seven straight, ok now go look because you probably didn’t realize since they had a 12-day layoff due to Covid-19 related hiatuses. Three games in four nights, back-to-back travel, blah blah blah – these guys just bounced the Spurs out of the gym in back-to-back games, and this isn’t your average back-to-back scenario – these guys are coming off a 12-day rest. They are headed to Indiana to play an average Pacers team who we just watched them completely fold to an Embiid-less Sixers team. They got outscored 37-15 in the 4th quarter, blowing a 13-point lead. Bottom line is this Grizzlies team covers on the road and plays solid D. Memphis is the top road ATS team in the league at 6-1. So far this season they have allowed 112 or more only four times, netting them a defensive rating of 106 – which is good for second in the league. Take the points: Grizzlies +6.
Fly High with the Flyers: Dayton -1
Ever since an embarrassing loss to a very bad Fordham team, Dayton had been solid winning five of six all by five or more points. These teams are pretty even on the defensive side of the ball, but where the separation comes is on the offensive end. Dayton boasts a 55.3 % EFG percentage good for 26th best in the country and Duquesne is shooting a 47.2 % EFG 274th best. With such a small spread it is key to note that Dayton has a huge advantage from the charity stripe. Dayton is shooting 74% good for 82nd in the country and Duquesne is shooting an awful 64.6% good for 316th. Dayton is the better offensive team and I’m talking the small chalk with them. Dayton -1.
Bradley Beal Over 30 Points All this talk this week because Westbrook hit a three? Let’s not forget that Beal is this offense. Without him this team is more doomed than they already are. This game features the leagues two worst defenses and with the Blazers on a back-to-back travel game after getting pounded into the ground by the Bucks this game should feature no defense whatsoever. Beal is averaging 35 PPG, shooting 48% from the floor and 89% from the line. 30 points should not be a big ask in a setup like this. Look for Beal to carry the team once again and go over 30.