Degens Only: Tuesday Plays, April 27
I want to start this off by saying my thoughts and prayers are with Chris Weidman, those freak accidents are always hard to watch, I hope he can make a full recovery and one day we see him in the octagon again. With that being said UFC 261 was arguably one of the greatest UFC pay-per views I have ever seen. It seemed like every fight was explosive and had a highlight reel finish. Honestly the way the event went off was Dana White’s answer to Jake Paul’s PPV. Since Paul has been trying to call out more UFC stars after beating retired NBA players, Youtubers, and guys with dad bods I think this UFC PPV spoke for itself in terms of Paul is not on this level and I don’t think he ever will be. All in all amazing night congrats Dana and can’t wait to see what Houston brings. As for us let’s knock those books out with today’s plays.
Over on Broadway: Mets/ Red Sox Over
This game just screams runs. These two starters are the definition of inconsistency. Richards hasn’t made it past the fifth inning this year for the Sox and if he struggles early like he has a few times already this season it could be an even longer night for the Sox bullpen. The Mets hold the seventh best average against RHP in the league so far which likely will spell trouble for Richards who is having some real control issues with a 13/12 BB/K ratio. Look for Mets hitters to get good pitches to hit or work a good amount of walks and get guys on base. Boston has hit well against lefties and righties and comes into this game ranked seventh against LHP. Peterson had one good outing but it was when he faced the Phillies for the second time within a week, pitchers usually do well in such situations. He has struggled a little with giving up the long ball with three homers in three starts. Besides the one start Peterson hasn’t made it past the fourth inning and with a dangerous hitting team like the Sox he could find himself in the dugout early again. Look for both pitchers to struggle and both high powered offenses to get a good amount of runs on the board take the over.
Red Bird Down: Phillies ML
This play is a pure fade of Carlos Martinez. The Cardinals honestly need to DFA this guy quick so maybe he can turn his season around because sending him out there every five days and hoping he figures it out is not going to work and will just end up costing them games. Last time he saw Philly they knocked him around for six runs over five innings. The Cardinals offense hasn’t come together well enough yet to score runs on a consistent basis to dig Martinez out of five run holes. With a better than average starter in Eflin going for them, Phillies all day in this one.
Golden Halo: Angels Team Total Over
Similar to the last play this one is also a fade on a pitcher that has been terrible to start the year. Folty has not been what he once was with Atlanta and Texas needs to realize that before it’s too late. Last game out he got hit for three runs which marked his third game out of four starts where he has given up three or more runs. The Angels have great numbers against Folty hitting .328 over 68 at bats they should be able to keep the trend of at least three runs per start going in this one. Take the Angles team total over.
Fire up the Cans: Astros first five -.5
Seattle has been one of the teams that starts the year off really hot and quickly fades away into a team that loses 90 games. This year is no acceptation as the Mariners sit at 13-9 and in second place in the AL West a place no one thought they would be and they have beaten some good clubs along the way so far. In this one it boils down to the Astros hit LHP very well ranking fifth in the league so far this season and they have owned Gonzales over his career as they have hit .333 against him over 168 at bats. With a heavy lineup and a young hard throwing righty on the mound the Astros should have no problems taking a lead into the back half of this game. Take the Astros -.5 over the first five.
“CitiField, Home of the New York Mets” by ChrisGoldNY is licensed under CC BY-NC 2.0