Degens Only – Friday Plays, Feb 5
Rejoice my fellow degenerates, as our ultimate “Degen” has once again made his return to the sports betting ring. That’s right Mattress Mack is back baby. The Houston native was in the news again yesterday, as it was finally revealed who the mattress messiah would be placing his millions on this year. “Bucs +3.5 for 3.46 million is the official bet.” Now, before you go pouring your life savings on Tampa, I feel that it is important to mention the “Mattress Mack curse.” It has been dubbed bad luck to be on the same side as Mack as he has lost north of 14 million on his bets over the last three years. The Chiefs have definitely had Mack’s number as he is 0-2 betting against them; twice they have made double digit come backs and cost Mack over a cool million. Beware Bucs bettors, you now have more than Mahomes to worry about.
We are going to have to get creative when looking at Friday’s college basketball slate, as we only have two teams inside the top 50 in action. Lebron sounded like he needed tonight off after a historic night where he passed Wilt Chamberlain for 3rd all-time on the field goals made list. He took to the media to basically quit on this year’s ASG. So without further ado, let’s dive into Friday’s top four plays.
Ballin’ Broncos: Boise State -4
Are you feeling lucky? Because were headed to Vegas for this one. Nevada has had a very up and down season so far. Starting the season 7-3, the Wolf Pack has split their last ten games. It really hasn’t been pretty. The wins have come against the bottom half of their conference, but so have the losses. Nevada has struggled vs bad defenses, seeing they only put up 64 points vs Wyoming’s 330th ranked defense and only 66 vs Air force’s 322 ranked defense has me thinking good things are ahead for the Broncos when they bring their 71st ranked D into town. Nevada has also struggled vs powerhouse offenses. They’re 0-5 vs. offenses ranked inside the top 100, losing by an average of nine points, Boise State ranks 56th. Both teams have had the luxury of being able to beat up on the bad teams in the bottom of their conference, but while Nevada has lost several games to those teams Boise has won them all convincingly. Seven of their victories against the bottom teams in their conference victories have come by 15+. Take the Broncos to leave Vegas a winner – Boise -4.
True Patriots: George Mason Team Total over 60.5
Sometimes bounce back performances are figured into betting lines, and that’s what I think we have in this one. I don’t think George Mason is really even close to this bad on the offensive side of the ball to have this low of a total. They have gone over this total in all but two games this season. The Patriots are averaging right around 70 ppg. this season and just put up 65 vs. this same Dayton team. In their last meeting, the Patriots were able to shoot above their season averages, and couple that confidence with them coming off a blowout loss, this total seems too low. George Mason team total over 60.5.
Confused In Cleveland: Cavs Team Total under 109
You ever look at a line and think, “That can’t be right, can it?” That’s where my head is at with this one. It could be because it’s bright and early at the time, I’m writing this as lineups are not set yet, but I really don’t get this one. The Bucks are not showing any notable injuries, nor can I find reports of any starters planning to sit this one out. The Cavs are only averaging 104 points per game, and it looks like Collin Sexton is a game time decision and Larry Nance is scheduled to miss this one. The last time these two teams played, the Cavs were only able to put up 90 points. Now Sexton missed that game, but Nance played, and the Bucks were without Giannis. Looking at their season as a whole, the Bucks have been able to hold nine teams to 109 or less just shy of 50% of their total games. As for the Cavs, they have gone under this 109 total in seven straight games and that list includes games vs some of the league’s worst defenses. In fact the Cavs have scored under tonight’s posted total in 17 of their 22 games this season. This one might change when lineups finally set, but I would get my bet in before they do. Cleveland, this isn’t for you: Cavs TT Under 109
Pelicans, Pacers, and Points: Pacers/Pelicans over 227
Another line as it sits that just seems off. Both of these teams possess the offensive talent to get the job done in this one and it shows as both teams rank in the top half of the league in offensive ratings with the Pacers ranking 8th and the Pelicans ranking 14th. While looking at the defensive side of the ball, both teams are in the bottom half of the league in defensive rating. The Pacers are ranked 16th and the Pelicans are ranked 24th. Taking an even closer look both of these teams are in the top 10 in points in the paint per game, which should lead to a lot of short-range buckets and trips to the line to help the points pile up. Take the over 227.
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