Degens Only: Friday Plays, April 30
Man, how good does it feel to have some sort of football for the next three days; thank you NFL draft. It had a bit of everything from insane: Trevor Lawrence bets $30,000 to win $58.90; I mean congrats your $58 richer, but you also may want to call 1800 ADMIT IT because even us degens are looking at you wide eyed. San Fran went all in with Lance and the Eagles traded with the Cowboys, no not a typo those division rivals really made a trade. The Bears made the biggest move of the first round and moved up nine spots to grab Justin Fields. The rest of the NFL potentially made another 20 year mistake and let the Patriots stay put and get a guy who was talked about as a top three pick in Mac Jones at 15. As we prepare to savor the next two days let’s look at something that’s never a mistake and that is our top plays of the day.
One nasty Pirate: Cardinals/Pirates F5 under
If you’re a fan of pitching, this Brubaker kid should have been on your radar after his second start. He has been an absolute stud for the Pirates to start the season. Only giving up five runs in his four starts and a 23/5 K/BB ratio have put him on my radar for people to watch. Gant has also had a good start to his season numbers wise while their not as shiny as Brubaker’s he has kept the runs to a minimum only allowing six runs in his first four starts and a 18/13 K/BB ratio. We know both these offenses are hit or miss and with these two young arms on the mound today’s game could be another long night for both these offenses. Take the under in the first five innings.
Mighty Mets: Mets ML
Don’t get it twisted this play is a straight fade of Chris Anderson. Both of these teams have been really struggling as of late with the Mets going 3-7 and the Phillies 4-6 in their last 10 games. The pitching matchup is what is going to turn that slump around for the Mets and have it continue for the Phillies. Anderson has been awful for Philly this season, he is yet to win a game and has gone less and less innings as the year has progressed only lasting three innings in his last outing. He has already seen the Mets twice this season giving up two runs in both games and a home run in each game. The Mets counter with Stroman who is having a great start to his season so far 3-1 with a 15/5 K/BB ratio. Stroman has seen the Phillies twice this season and has only given up a combined seven hits and one run. Look for the trends to continue and the Mets to break out of their struggles. Take the Mets.
Going Yarbrough: Astros Team Total Over
If you’re a continuous reader of these articles you know the Astros are monsters when it comes to hitting lefties. That is exactly what they get here in this one. Yarbrough has been up and down so far this season and he has basically been on par with the type of team he is facing, meaning if he is facing a good offense he is going to get hit and if he is facing a struggling team he excels. In this matchup he is getting the team that is number two in the league against lefties. Astros bats have been hot on the road as well scoring four or more runs in seven of their 11 road games so far. I think this game might be high scoring overall but I’m backing the Astros to do most of the heavy lifting. Take the Astros team total over.
Brave Birds: Braves/Jays over
This one is based only on the pitching matchup. Smyly is not good and I think Robbie Ray is not too far behind him. Both of these offenses possess the power to absolutely tee off on either one of these starters. Something about being in TD park for the Blue Jays leads to runs as all but one of their eight home games have had eight runs or more. I think the trend continues here and these two teams end up going toe to toe in a slugfest to open this series. Take the over.