BUCK VS MAGIC, DEC. 30
Last night’s strong comeback by the Grizzlies helped us add another victory to our record. Today we’re sadly dealing with a short slate in the association, but we have a total play on this game. This game is a rematch from a few days ago. Will the Magic have the same output as last time? Let’s break down this matchup and find out which is the better side.
The old saying that bad teams are some of the best to bet on is ringing true in this game. The Magic are one of the worst teams in the league and have a ton of guys out due to injuries and protocols. They are playing against the defending champion Bucks and are favored by a large margin. This has more impact on the total though, as when Orlando is viewed as one of the poorest teams in the league, their totals are often lower than they should be, which would be the case here. Looking at the Magic, they have hit the century mark or gone over in nine of their 13 games this month, and honestly, the games where they didn’t go over were very close to going over and that was not surprising given the defense they were playing. Orlando ranks towards the bottom of the league (25) in overall defense, so a fully healthy Bucks team should have no issue putting up points against them.
The defending champs are back to full strength and have actually looked pretty scary over their past few games. The only area where they have had some struggles are on the defensive end. They did get blitzed by Boston and had to complete an amazing comeback, but they still gave up a great deal of points, and then they gave up almost the same amount of points to this Magic team. The Bucks rank right in the middle of overall defense, giving up an average of 107 per game. So just to put that in perspective, the Bucks will only have to play average defense and the Magic should theoretically put up 107, leaving only 110 for this Bucks offense to put up, which they are fully capable of. Seeing as the 110 is 17 points less than what they scored in their last game against the Magic, there is even a good deal of room for error and this to still go over.
Bucks vs Magic the Pick: Over 216.5
The Magic are an underrated offense with a bad defense, a perfect recipe for overconfidence. The Bucks have been playing average to poor defense and should allow some points to this solid offense. Both teams rank on the higher end of the pace scale, so an up-tempo game with a lot of scoring is why we have grabbed the over at 216.5 points.
Same Game Parlay
Over 217.5 Pts, Giannis Antetokounmpo First Basket, Giannis Over 25.5 pts and Bucks to win by 1-10 Pts.
SGP Odds +5563