NBA Finals Suns Bucks Basketball
Phoenix Suns guard Chris Paul (3) drives past Milwaukee Bucks guard Jrue Holiday (21) during the second half of Game 3 of basketball's NBA Finals in Milwaukee, Sunday, July 11, 2021. (AP Photo/Paul Sancya)

Bucks Suns Game 4 Props, July 14th

I’m calling it right now, Game 4 of the Suns and Bucks will be the most pivotal in the series as the Suns can either go up 3-1 or the Bucks will storm back and tie this series. Milwaukee has the momentum on their side, but Phoenix has shown that they can adjust and bounce back after losses during these playoffs. 

With the Bucks posting an 8-1 record at home over the course of the playoffs, I am pretty fucking torn over who I am siding with in this game. On one hand, Giannis has shown that he can be the playoff dude we’ve been waiting for and on the other, do I really want to bet against the trio of Devin Booker, Chris Paul, and Deandre Ayton. 

The other important part of picking a side in this one comes down to coaching. Monty Williams has been brilliant during the entire regular season and now the playoffs. Everytime a mic’d up clip of him is tweeted out, it’s like a training video for the US to force teachers to watch in the public school system. If Monty Williams came up to me and told me to do something, I would do it. 

Essentially, that was a very long-winded way of saying that I have no earthly idea what I should bet on and which side to choose so I am way more confident just picking some props and I’m nice enough to share them with you. Here are my favorite props for the most important game of the NBA Finals. 

Khris Middleton OVER 5.5 assists (+110)
There are two things I really love. Number 1 is plus money bets. Number 2 is plus money bets on OVERS. Middleton has been shaky so far this series but he has racked up 14 assists over the last two games. He has gone over his assists totals in six of his last eight. When he is on, he can score. But even when he is not, he can dish out an assist and he has done that so far in the Finals. This number would have cashed in 2 of 3 this series and I am banking on it in Game 4.

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Deandre Ayton OVER 28.5 Points and Rebounds (-115)
While this isn’t a plus money OVER, this is a good value bet because I think the number should be a lot lower than -115. Ayton is turning into a star right before our eyes and it has been fun to watch over the course of the playoffs. Ayton was off to a hot start in Game 3, but it fell apart when he committed two bad fouls in the last minute and a half of the second quarter. He very quickly picked up his fourth foul in the 2nd half and it was downhill from there. This number would have only hit in 3 of his last 6, but I think Ayton will play much smarter in Game 4 and reach this digit. 

Chris Paul UNDER 4.5 Rebounds (-144) 
Okay, for my final pick, I am finally going to bet an UNDER. I don’t like betting anything UNDER when it comes to Chris Paul typically, but rebounds have just not been his strong suit in this series. If you look at his last 10 games, his total rebounds would have gone UNDER 4.5 all 10 times. That is an astronomical piece of evidence to continue setting this line at 4.5 and that’s why he has the -144 number. This prop bet is really for bigger bettors given the odds, but it seems like one that should hit easily. 

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