TNF: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles Best Bets/Props
This Thursday night contest yields another fun matchup between two NFC squads and there are a lot of interesting plays and props to wager on. In this match, the G.O.A.T. Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers travel to Philadelphia to face off against the Eagles and QB Jalen Hurts. While the defending Super Bowl champs have had a prosperous season so far, Philadelphia was able to get back on track with their own campaign in an impressive victory over Carolina. Both teams were in a rhythm on Sunday and I expect that to continue for this one with a lot of productivity on both sides. Here are the best bets for this edition of Thursday Night Football.
The opening line for this game favored Tampa by six and a half-points, but they were quickly bet up to now being a seven-point road favorite. This wide margin is very favorable for the Eagles, since 1995, Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS as home underdogs of 7+ points. Additionally, Philly is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games as an underdog overall. Although the spread is only at an even touchdown, most of the numbers in this matchup support the Eagles. In his last 10 starts during primetime games, Tom Brady is an astounding 0 for 10 ATS. Despite a 45-17 win and a 400 yard performance paired with 5 TD passes by Brady, the Eagles are an all around tougher matchup for the Bucs. Last week, they displayed their strength during a rugged 21-18 win over the Panthers. With an ailing Bucs secondary that is in shambles for this short week, the solid connection between Jalen Hurts and WR DeVonta Smith should cause Tampa’s defense some issues. They put up 30 points in a close loss to the Chiefs, and excluding their loss to Dallas, the Eagles have looked in sync on both sides of the ball. Take Philly plus the points at home where they certainly have an advantage.
Antonio Brown Over 61.5 Receiving Yards
After being targeted a combined 19 times in the past two games, Antonio Brown’s productivity has seemingly returned to its prime form. In their domination over Miami, Brown totaled 124 yards receiving and hauled in two touchdowns. This total seems far too low for me, considering he is a vital piece of their offense and probably the best receiver of all time. Although it took some time for him to fit in the offense and find his role, AB is a huge asset to have with a very high ceiling. He and Tom Brady have had a rapport since their days in New England and it is finally taking full shape this season. While it will be difficult for him to really go off against this Eagles’ defense, this should be an easy mark for him to hit with the Bucs pass-happy offense. Since all he needs is 3-4 receptions to gain that amount, take AB to go over this total.
Chris Godwin Anytime TD (+115)
While Chris Godwin is tied for the most receptions on his team, he has not been in the end zone since Week 2, so he is well overdue for a score. Last week, Godwin hauled in 7 passes for 70 yards and led the offense with 11 targets. His volume is at the top of a team that leads the league in passing, so he is always a safe option. At odds of +115, this prop has amazing value considering how consistent he is. His productivity among a crowded receiving core and an offense full of weapons says something about his ability. With Brady and Godwin connecting 10 times in the end zone since 2020, Godwin has been a formidable red zone target. Although Brady tends to evenly distribute his passes among all his options, expect for a lot of points to be put on the board in this matchup, which increases Godwin’s chances. Take him to have another busy night that includes scoring a touchdown.