Los Angeles Dodgers' Chris Taylor
Los Angeles Dodgers' Chris Taylor hits an RBI single to score Mookie Betts during the second inning in Game 1 of baseball's National League Championship Series against the Atlanta Braves Saturday, Oct. 16, 2021, in Atlanta.(AP Photo/John Bazemore)

BRAVES VS DODGERS NLCS, GAME 3

Kyle Barrette

Game three of the NLCS shifts to Los Angeles where the Dodgers have a lot of ground to make up as they dug themselves a two-game hole while they were in Atlanta. After one of the more generous check swing calls of all time, some are questioning whether the Dodgers should even be in this series right now. The games have been entertaining thus far, but this Dodgers team has been pushed to its limits in each series they have been in so far. Walking it off in the Wildcard game, being on the brink of elimination against the Giants and coming back and winning a one run game on a controversial check swing, and now already down 2-0 to a red-hot Braves team. The question becomes how many comebacks does this Dodgers team have in them?


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Dodgers:

It’s been a very hard-fought road for LA up until this point and we could be seeing it finally catch up to them. The Braves are known more for their solid top to bottom line up than their pitching as their offense has been able to come through late in the first two games of this series, driving in back-to-back walk off hits to capture the first two games. Uncharacteristically, it’s been the Dodgers bullpen that has been leaky thus far in this series. The number one bullpen this season has not been able to hold a lead to secure the win or buy their offense time to grab the go ahead runs. Now enter Walker Buehler. This guy’s road and home splits have been completely night and day. Buehler against the Giants on the road, three runs in a loss and Buehler at home against the Giants, one run in a win. Buehler is a dominant 11-2 at home this season and an average 5-3 on the road. Buehler has only allowed 10 runs in his last eight starts at home, more impressive is half of those starts were against teams that made the postseason. We had this exact matchup earlier in the season, where Buehler went seven innings allowing four hits and two runs in a Dodgers win and now, he and the Dodgers will be looking for more of the home magic to get them on the board in this series.

Atlanta
Don’t look now, but the Braves have only lost two games in the whole month of October and are currently riding a five-game win streak in the postseason. The Braves have benefited from being clutch and winning the close games. In fact, their last three wins have all been by one run and they have two other wins by three runs with their one postseason loss being by one run. They often talk of the team that turns it on at the right time to go on to win the title and right now no one fits that mold better than Atlanta. The bullpen for the Braves has stepped up mightily and has made a huge impact; so far, they have only allowed four runs in six games. Morton has done his part to keep the Braves in games as he has not allowed more than three runs in all but one start since the beginning of August. Morton was solid in his start against the Dodgers earlier in the season going six strong allowing three hits and only one run. Atlanta will no doubt need a repeat performance from Morton to hang around in this one with Buehler on the opposite side. 

Dodgers vs Atlanta: The Pick
I’m going with Atlanta first five team total under two here. As we highlighted, Buehler is a different animal at home and the Dodgers know they need a win here and it will be all systems go in this one. Atlanta has gotten only two runs in the first five in both games at home and against pitchers with worse splits, causing them to struggle early in this one. Additionally, I have put together my parlay for tonight’s game.

Parlay Odds +305: Dodgers F5 ML (-165) and Under 7.5 Total Runs (-115)

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