Toronto Blue Jays catcher Alejandro Kirk, right, waits for the throw as Boston Red Sox's Bobby Dalbec, left, scores on a sacrifice by Connor Wong during the seventh inning of a baseball game against the Toronto Blue Jays, Tuesday, April 19, 2022, at Fenway Park in Boston. (AP Photo/Charles Krupa)


Kyle Barrette

We cleared the hook and cashed in on last night’s game with the over 8.5 in the Angels game. Even though we thought it would be the Astros doing most of the heavy lifting, a total doesn’t care which side prevails. Today we do have a side in what should be another great game between the Red Sox and the Blue Jays. These two division rivals will be going at it all season, so who wins here? Let’s break down this matchup and find out.

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Red Sox:
Boston is currently 3-2 in their seven-game home stand. I want to start by looking at the offense. We all remember what the Sox did last year, seemingly scoring six or more runs a game, and naturally, they have come back down to earth and looking at this home stand, this is somewhat concerning. In all but one game, the Sox have scored four runs or less, and we all know that’s not going to be good enough to beat a high-powered offense like Toronto often. Today is a big concern as Pivetta takes the hill for the Sox. We mentioned him in the last game we played when he pitched, and it was not good. He only lasted just over two innings and gave up four runs and continued his trend of allowing home runs. Current Blue Jays batters are hitting .328 in 73 at bats.

Blue Jays:
The Blue Jays have been trading wins and losses so far this season but still sit in a three-way tie for the top spot in the AL East. Toronto has also somewhat struggled to score runs, getting shut out twice in their series with the Yankees and scoring four in the two games they played against Oakland. Berrios takes the hill for the Blue Jays, and his season certainly has not gone according to plan as he has struggled mightily through his first two starts. He’s only pitched a little more than five innings in his two starts, allowing seven runs and having a 5/5 BB/K ratio. This could be his get-right game as he has solid numbers against Boston, who are struggling a little bit themselves. He has a strikeout rate of 25% and only allows .232 BA over 88 at bats.

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Pick: Blue Jays ML 
This is a good spot for the Jays. Pivetta is terrible, and this could be the game that kick starts Toronto’s offense. Boston gets a guy who needs to have a good game and who, over his career, has had success against them. This could lean either way, but I’m leaning towards the Jays.

Same Game Parlay:
Blue Jays ML, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to hit a HR, Nick Pivetta Under 4.5 K’s and George Springer to record 2+ hits. 

SGP Odds +2000

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