Best Bets: The Props Return, April 24
For those Thursday Trend readers out there, you should be happy that the Celtics not only covered the spread against Phoenix on Thursday night but they won outright so I am taking my winnings and spreading it out across this weekend and hoping to hit big on a couple of games. Per usual, the total bases props are here to stay and I’ll be throwing out a few of my favorites. Plus, it might be time for you to lay down a Cy Young wager very quickly before it just becomes an asinine number.
For this weekend’s best bets, we are going to mix in a little NBA, FCS, MLB, and a future.
Per usual, we have seen some really weird Saturday play in the NBA over the last few weeks and we have to assume the same will happen today.
My favorite bet of the day is the OVER in the Heat and Bulls game. Sure, these teams don’t have the most prolific offenses in the league, but the number for today’s game is even low for their standards. Right now the total is at 205, and anytime I see a number like that, I have to pounce. In their last six games, the Bulls have scored at least 102 points. For the Heat, they’ve scored 103 or more in their last six games. Do the math (it adds up to 105) and play the probability game here that these two squads can hit that number.
You know that I love base props and I really love a base prop with good value. Maybe this isn’t the safest play today, but it is one that shows great value and I am not sleeping on it. I’m taking Brandon Nimmo OVER 1.5 bases at +145. Nimmo is currently off to a .408 start at the plate, hitting 20-49 with a home run and double in the last seven days. In his last game, he collected three hits and is facing a pitcher he loves today. He is 5-7 against Nats starter Joe Ross, and hitting out of the leadoff spot, Nimmo should be guaranteed at least four at-bats and two off of Ross where an extra-base hit could easily happen.
And on the subject of Major League Baseball and the New York Mets, it is time to turn in your Cy Young ticket while you still can. Jacob deGrom is still +275 according to DraftKings to win the NL Cy Young which is bonkers that number hasn’t gone into the negative at this point. He struck out 15 batters yesterday and collected two hits of his own. He might even win the god damn MVP while he is at it. He is becoming must-watch TV and if he keeps turning in starts like this, the race is over before it really begins for the award.
FCS Football My favorite bet today on the FCS board belongs to Weber State. If you read The Trend, you know that I also love Eastern Washington in a favorable spot against a North Dakota State team that is no longer a powerhouse. But this Weber State game is my favorite. Coming into this one undefeated, this is a team that many believe should have been ranked in the top four teams and barely missed out. Now they are hosting a Southern Illinois team that finished 3-5 on the regular season. Weber State runs the ball well and can cause turnovers and if they can do both of those things well today, I have no problem laying 5.5 points to watch Weber State secure a dub.
“File:Jacob deGrom (47449527382) (cropped).jpg” by David from Washington, DC is licensed under CC BY 2.0