Best Bets: Becoming Notorious for Losing
An incredibly scary realization came over me today as I wandered the internet, looking for the sporting events this weekend. I quickly realized that the NHL is over, the NBA is almost wrapped up, and football doesn’t begin for well over another month. What I am really starting to feel in my gut is that I either have to become the world’s greatest baseball player or I need to start studying up on my Olympic memory ASAP.
This could be the last weekend that we have with basketball if the Suns are able to pull off the ever so impressive 4 game sweep and complete the dynasty of Suns in 4. If they can’t, Game 5 is scheduled back in Phoenix for next Saturday. With the momentum for Phoenix in that series, I really think that anything is possible.
Of course, we still have UFC and horse racing and things like that, but they aren’t as consistent and they just don’t draw the audience that the others do. But I am not a man to complain after spending 2020 with no sports. Instead, I am going to embrace these sports I typically don’t care about and I am going to adopt them as my own. The only way to enjoy such things are to embody them.
With that being said, let’s first talk about a fight that is going to be watched by just about everyone on Saturday night. Conor McGregor will fight Dustin Poirier for the third time on pay-per-view. These two are 1-1 in their previous two fifths. Back in 2014, a much younger McGregor ended the fight in the first round when he knocked out Poirier. In the second fight which just happened this past January, Poirier ended McGregor with a TKO in the second round. We haven’t seen a ton of impressive fighting from The Notorious in his last few fights, going 1-2 in his last three.
Going into this fight, Poirier has the betting advantage at -125. I hate to say it, but I’m just not sure that McGregor is the fighter that he once was and that was evident in his last fight against Poirier. Honestly, over the past few years, all we have really seen from Conor is a beatdown of Donald Cerrone who is well past his prime. Since 2017, Poirier has lost just one of his nine fights and that was to Khabib. I’m taking Poirier at -125.
There is no way I am giving you this article without an NBA Finals pick because it still reigns supreme. Game 3 is set in Milwaukee with the Bucks looking down an 0-2 barrel. It feels like Milwuakee has been on the ropes in every single game of the series and they still find a way to come back. Vegas knows how much the Bucks like playing at home as they have gone from a 5.5 point underdog to a 3.5 point favorite after losing a game by 10 points.
The story in Game 2 was really about how poorly both Jrue Holiday and Khris Middleton played. Giannis was brilliant with 42 points and 12 rebounds but the other two shot just 12-37. One thing that was obvious is that the Bucks dominated inside the paint which makes me believe that they’ll get Brooks Lopez more involved than he was in Game 2 now that Dario Saric is done for the series.
The Bucks are 7-1 at home this postseason and 3.5 isn’t much for them to cover. I think this line will move before tipoff and more money will roll into the Bucks spread. My best advice in this game would be to Bet Bucks Live Line. Phoenix will not trail for this entire game and as soon as this line flips into Milwaukee plus-money or a spread below 2, jump on it. I like Phoenix overall in the series, but I do think that Milwaukee wins Game 3 back at home.