Martin Perez
Texas Rangers starting pitcher Martin Perez throws to the Colorado Rockies in the third inning of a baseball game, Tuesday, April 12, 2022, in Arlington, Texas. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)

ASTROS VS RANGERS APRIL 28

Kyle Barrette

Another close one. We were one Zack Greinke grunt away from losing yesterday, but we cashed and have another great matchup for today’s pick. We head to Texas for the all-Texas matchup where the Rangers are hosting the Astros and finishing up their series. Can Texas avoid the sweep? Let’s break down both sides and find out.

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Rangers:
The first week gave you some excitement, but since then we have been reminded of why this Rangers team is not going to be very good this year: the starting pitching. The Rangers made a lot of moves in the offseason, most of them to fill the holes left by the bats they shipped to other teams the year before. The only pitching they went after was from former Rockies pitcher Jon Gray, who is already on the DL. You don’t win many games in this league because you are always playing from behind. Today the Rangers are sending Martin Perez to the hill. Perez finally had a good outing after getting knocked around in his first two starts. A true test will be against an Astros lineup that is solid from top to bottom, but Perez has struggled mightily against Houston in his career. Perez is allowing current Astros hitters to hit .344 in 110 at bats while striking out 13% of the time.

Houston:
Another year, same old Astros. Off to an average start, they know it’s a long season and they will turn it on and take the division. Statistically, they are one of the better teams at hitting left-handed pitchers, and they have gradually improved at hitting lefties this season. They were able to get to Hern in game one of this series, and today they have a lefty that they have hit hard in Perez. Pitching for the Astros is Justin Verlander. Verlander is back and it’s like he never left. Toronto was the only team to really touch him this season, and that was only for three runs over six innings of work. The Rangers’ lineup is far from the Blue Jays. Verlander has been solid against the Rangers in his career, holding Rangers hitters to a .234 average over 115 at-bats with an insane 37% strikeout rate.

Astros vs Rangers Pick: Astros F5 -.5
The Astros vs. LHP had been underrated this season, and their ace is on the hill and they are facing a lefty that they have smashed. Houston should score with ease while Verlander shuts down the Rangers. Take the F5 -.5.

Same Game Parlay:
Yordan Alvarez to hit a HR, Verlander Over 6.5 K’s, Michael Brantley to record 2+ hits, Alvarez to record an RBI and Astros ML.

SGP Odds +2194

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