ARMY VS NAVY BEST BETS, DEC. 11
College football will be going out with a bang before bowl season as we arrive at our final matchup. This contest will take place in East Rutherford, New Jersey in a rivalry as old as the constitution between the Army Black Knights and Navy Midshipmen. Now that football betting season is heating up as we approach the postseason, the gears are starting to turn for degenerates who are looking to find their rhythm in these coming weeks. By noticing basic patterns and trends from previous meetings over the years, it is very transparent to see how things will go down. With this in mind, here is what I love and why I love it for this annual Army-Navy matchup.
The spread between these programs opened up with Army as 8-point favorites, but the current line favors them at 7. While Army is 4-2 ATS in their previous six games overall, Navy is also a sharp 4-1 ATS in their last five contests. However, Army has the edge in this matchup where they are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings between these two. Last time out, Navy blew out the Temple Owls 38-14 and Army took care of Liberty 31-16. With the Knights at 8-3 and the Midshipmen at 3-8, these two have had very different seasons. In last year’s game, the Knights defeated their naval foes 15-0 during a fog-shrouded game. It was a very similar situation for these two going into last year’s game, where Army boasted a record of 8-2 and Navy had a sour seven losses in nine total games. With high temperatures in the forecast for Saturday, Army’s high-powered offense led by QB Christian Anderson won’t have to face any adverse weather like they normally do in these games. They will seek similar results this year with a majority of the players from their electric running offense returning, while the Midshipmen will have plenty of inexperience on their side. With Army looking abnormally better than Navy this year, expect to see the Knights play consistent football where they should have full control in this one. Take Army to cover in what is always a gritty overall matchup.
In an expected low-scoring affair, Vegas oddsmakers have listed the total points for this game at 35. This mark is the lowest over/under total for the Army-Navy game since 1994. Part of the reason for an especially low total is the fact that the under is 15-0 in the last 15 meetings between these two schools. Additionally, the total has gone under in six out of Army’s last eight games and has gone under in five of Navy’s previous seven matches. While Army will grind you out in a slower paced flexbone offensive scheme, Navy also runs a traditional triple-option offense since these two started playing. Last season against Army, the Midshipmen didn’t score a single point in a dominant showing by the Knights. However, over the course of that year Navy’s offense averaged 24 points per game, which is high by their standards. Nevertheless, this year is no different for the Midshipmen where their offense has had near identical offensive output to their unsuccessful 2020 campaign. Both teams know each other too well for one to really blow the other out, so even a 28-point total would be relatively high scoring for these two based on recent years. Both offenses work at a snail’s pace and are bitter rivals, so don’t let this number fool you and bet the under.